Garçon! Un Coca-Cola, S'il Vous Plaît
http://www.slate.com/id/2134151/
Europeans hate America these days. So, why
are they still buying our stuff? By Daniel
Gross Posted Wednesday, Jan. 11, 2006, at
4:54 PM ET It is an article of faith
among marketing types, Bush administration critics, and even awkward
practitioners of public diplomacy, like Karen Hughes, that the unpopularity of
U.S. foreign policy in Europe and the Middle East could hurt American economic
interests.
If they hate our invasion of Iraq and our
president, the reasoning goes, they'll hate Starbucks lattes, Levi's jeans, and
Ford sedans. Media and marketing professionals stoked these fears—the
former by highlighting every attempted boycott of American products, the latter
by undertaking studies to see which companies were most at risk. Last year, I
wrote about marketing consultant GMI, which polled European and Canadian
consumers and constructed a matrix that showed which brands were deemed to be
most American and which brands customers said they'd be likely to avoid.
It was tough to give too much credence
to such surveys, because what people say they'll do in a survey and what they
actually do in the checkout line are frequently different. What's more, it's
difficult to quantify the value of an image, and hence how much a sullied image
in the marketplace of public opinion costs a company. But it is easier to tally
results in the real marketplace—sales, revenues, and earnings. If U.S.
foreign policy is engendering hostility among consumers in Europe, it would
surely show up in annual reports. Two
distinguished political scientists, Peter Katzenstein (from whom I took a class
in introductory international relations half a lifetime ago) and Robert Keohane,
set out to investigate whether American companies were suffering because of
American policies. They're editing a book, Anti-Americanism in World Politics,
to be published this fall by Cornell University Press. In one chapter, they trot
out anecdotal evidence of European hostility to U.S. products. "It is plausible
to believe that people who feel hostile toward the United States would be
reluctant to purchase products form American firms, especially those products
associated strongly with the United States," they write.
To put the hypothesis to the test,
Katzenstein and Keohane examined 2000-2004 European sales figures of three major
U.S.-based consumer products firms (Coca-Cola, McDonald's, and Nike) and three
major European-based consumer products firms competing in similar fields
(Cadbury Schweppes, Nestlé, and adidas-Salomon). In the GMI report I wrote
about last year, Coca-Cola and McDonald's were squarely nestled in the problem
quadrant—identified in the survey as companies that were seen as highly
American and that European and Canadian consumers said they'd be likely to
avoid. Nike barely avoided the problem quadrant.
In the time period studied, the
European sales of all six firms rose. But the sales of the U.S. firms grew more
rapidly. From 2002-2004, Coke's sales in Europe rose 37 percent, McDonald's rose
31 percent, and Nike's rose 40 percent. By contrast, adidas-Salomon's Europeans
sales rose about 8 percent, Cadbury Schweppes' rose 28 percent, and
Nestlé's rose about 2 percent—albeit off a gigantic base. What's
more, "all three American firms increased the share of their [overall] revenues
deriving from Europe." In other words, as they were demonstrating against U.S.
policy and telling market researchers they'd boycott Coca-Cola and McDonald's,
Euros were increasingly lacing up their Nikes to walk down to McDonald's, where
they'd wash down the junk food with a supersized Diet Coke. The conclusion:
"Reports of consumer anti-Americanism damaging sales of U.S.-based firms in
Europe are highly exaggerated." Is
there any reason to doubt Katzenstein and Keohane's conclusion? The fact that
the dollar was weakening against the Euro during much of the period may have
helped boost the American sales. (The figures for U.S. companies are calculated
in dollars while the figures for European companies are reported in Euros.) And
it could be that weakness in the European economies where anti-American feeling
is concentrated—Germany, France, and Italy—was made up for by
strength in more friendly countries like Poland. This seems unlikely, since the
continent's consuming power is overwhelmingly concentrated in the countries more
hostile to the United States. Plus,
there's other evidence to back up Katzenstein and Keohane. For example, it is
generally accepted that the public in the Middle East is more hostile to U.S.
foreign policy than the public in Europe. And calls have rung out across the
Middle East for boycotts of U.S. products like Coca-Cola. But such boycotts have
not occurred. As Vito Racanelli pointed out in Barron's over the weekend, data
from the Bureau of Economic Analysis "show in the first nine months of 2005,
U.S. corporate profits earned from Middle East affiliates rose 33 percent to
$3.4 billion." What gives? One
conclusion is that consumers are hypocrites. Or, to view it more charitably,
they don't let geopolitical issues stand in the way of positive consuming
experiences. (They won't put their money where their mouth is.) There is also a
long European tradition of America-bashing mixed with consumption of American
goods. What's more, in Europe, the anti-American combination
geopolitical/consumer backlash has a long history of futility. In his
magisterial book on Europe, Postwar, Tony Judt notes that even after World War
II, when the United States was giving France enormous, essential aid, the French
railed against the invasion of American consumer products while snapping them
up. Judt notes that Coca-Cola's rapid
expansion in the late 1940s "unleashed a public storm" in France. Le Monde was
aghast that Coca-Cola had set a target of selling 240 million bottles in the
country in 1950 and editorialized, "Coca-Cola is the Danzig of European
Culture." Parisians guzzled the sweet stuff anyway.
Plus ça change ...Related in
Slate In 2003, Jon Fasman wrote
of the futility of the Arab world boycotting Coke. In January 2005, Daniel Gross
wrote about GMI's report on the American-ness of brands. Fred Kaplan wrote about
Karen Hughes' stabs at public
diplomacy.Daniel Gross (www.danielgross.net) writes
Slate's "Moneybox" column. You can e-mail him at moneybox@slate.com. Copyright
2006 Washingtonpost.Newsweek Interactive Co. LLC
Posted: Thu - January 12, 2006 at 11:30 AM
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Published On: Jan 12, 2006 11:30 AM
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