The Impoverishment of a Culture


The Arab and Muslim Rulers conspire to squash a culture

The Impoverishment of a Culture

By Mike Smith

I knew that Islam was holding back economic development of it's followers,
but I had no idea how bad it was. That one number says that is just about
every possible technology they are behind all 1st world countries, (almost?)
all second world countries, and pretty much the bulk of all 3rd world
countries!

Just the idea that they are more backward than India, China, South Africa,
heck, maybe even Kenya... That would tend to explain the hopelessness and
"oppressed" feelings... The idea that they need to buckle down for a
generation or two and go to school (studying engineering, not the Koran) and
build a material world is one they reject, and with that rejection they
guarantee the cycle of despair.
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Side Bar: The Arab and muslim worlds are busy making a giant baby boom.
God told them to be fuity and multiply and they are determined to do it.
Besides, with most of the world oil, they can afford it, right? Wrong! The
different countries "run dry" at different times (and different price
points) but even Saudi Arabia is only projected at a 50 year lifespan for
the "easy oil". Some countries, like Libya, have a 10 to 15 year economic
span - then it's dried up to the point of minimal economic gain.

So what happens then? Think about it... A world of states, like Libya, that
have bought a generation of prosperity for all citizens by selling one
thing, and that thing is gone. They have no skills, and no industry. And
no way to grow the food they need.

You can even see this starting in Saudi Arabia. The "average" Saudi used to
get about the equivalent of $50,000 or so a year as their share of the oil
take. It's now down to $18,000 / year and they are pissed. The money
coming in is about the same, but it's split more ways thanks to a doubling
or so of population. And that's not all. Most muslim oil counties are very
young (something like 75% of Iran is under 25? or so and don't remember the
Shah) so this will only get worse even if not a single added child is
born...

So exactly how will folks cope when they don't have enough cash to buy a
house, car, food, etc.? When the oil left in the ground is just enough to
run their economy, not to export? This will begin to happen in our
lifetimes. Each country in turn, with Saudi being last, Quatar and Kuwait
being next to last, and countries like Nigeria and Libya being early in the
list and Egypt somewhere in the middle.

Think poverty ridden Palistine mob scene on steroids...

FWIW, some countries with very low populations, like Quatar and Kuwait and
UAE, will likely do just fine. They have solid investment plans to turn
their oil into stock and bond holdings for a perpetual income fund. Most
oil countries do not. Especially those with large populations where the
politicians have bought power with oil goodies to the masses... or with
massive arms purchases ... Iran and Iraq come to mind.

Posted: Thu - March 25, 2004 at 01:17 AM      


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