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Much of the research supporting articles shown here has been presented in academic or professional meetings where comments and criticisms have helped weed out bad ideas or logic or have put a sharper focus on the important items.
You're welcome to download over 30 of the articles below by clicking on the bold-faced title. These are in PDF format readable with Adobe Acrobat Reader or Apple Preview.
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Revisiting Non-Normal Real Estate Return
Distributions by Property Type in the U.S.
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Michael S. Young. Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 2008, 36:2, 233-248.
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Real-Time Valuation: Breathing New Life into Moribund DCF
Modeling
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Michael S. Young. Journal of Real Estate Practice and Education, 2007, 10:1, 25-40.
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Serial Persistence in Individual
Real Estate Returns in the U.K.
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Steven P. Devaney, Stephen L. Lee, and Michael S. Young. Journal of Property Investment & Finance, 2007, 25:3, 241-273.
2008 "Highly Commended Award" from the Emerald LiteratiNetwork.
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Non-Normal Real Estate Return
Distributions by Property Type in the U.K.
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Michael S. Young, Stephen L. Lee, and Steven P. Devaney.
Journal of Property Research, June 2006, 23:2, 109-133.
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Making Sense of the NCREIF Property
Index: A New Formulation Revisited
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Michael S. Young. Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, 2005, 11:3, 211-223.
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Real Estate Performance Attribution: Pure Theory Meets Messy Reality
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Michael S. Young and Susan Annis.
Journal of Real Estate Research, 2002, 23:1/2, 3-27.
Winner of Prize for "Best Paper Presented by a Practicing Real Estate Professional"
at the 2001 Annual Meeting of the American Real Estate Society.
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Institutional Property Tenure: Evidence from the NCREIF Database
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Jeffrey D. Fisher and Michael S. Young.
Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, 2000, 6:4, 327-338.
Winner of Prize for "Best Paper Presented on Real Estate Investment / Portfolio Management"
at the 2000 Annual Meeting of the American Real Estate Society.
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Holding Periods for Institutional Real Estate in the NCREIF Database
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Jeffrey D. Fisher and Michael S. Young.
Real Estate Finance, Fall 2000, 17:3, 27-34.
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REIT Property-Type Sector Integration
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Michael S. Young.
Journal of Real Estate Research, 2000, 18:1/2, 3-21.
Winner of Prize for "Best Paper Presented by a Practicing Real Estate Professional"
at the 1999 Annual Meeting of the American Real Estate Society.
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The Predictability of Real Estate Capitalization Rates
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Vinod Chandrashekaran and Michael S. Young. March 2000, unpublished manuscript.
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Industry Concentration: The Case of Real Estate Investment Trusts
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Vinod Chandrashekaran and Michael S. Young.
Real Estate Finance, Fall 1999, 16:3, 1-8.
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The Magnitude of Random Appraisal Error in Commercial Real Estate Valuation
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Richard A. Graff and Michael S. Young.
Journal of Real Estate Research, 1999, 17:1/2, 33-54.
Winner of Prize for "Best Paper Presented on Real Estate Valuation"
at the 1998 Annual Meeting of the American Real Estate Society.
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Measuring Random Appraisal Error in Commercial Real Estate
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Michael S. Young and Richard A. Graff.
Real Estate Review, Winter 1999, 24:4, 57-62.
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Serial Persistence in Disaggregated Australian Real Estate Returns
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Richard A. Graff, Adrian Harrington, and Michael S. Young.
Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, 1999, 5:2, 113-127.
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Lessons of the Past: How REITs React in Market Downturns
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Michael S. Young.
Institutional Real Estate Securities, April 1998, 3, 20-22.
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Serial Persistence in Equity REIT Returns
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Richard A. Graff and Michael S. Young.
Journal of Real Estate Research, 1997, 14:3, 183-214.
Winner of Prize for "Best Paper Presented by a Practicing Real Estate Professional"
at the 1997 Annual Meeting of the American Real Estate Society.
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The Shape of Australian Real Estate Return Distributions and Comparisons to the United States
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Richard A. Graff, Adrian Harrington, and Michael S. Young.
Journal of Real Estate Research, 1997, 14:3, 291-308.
Winner of Prize for "Best Paper Presented on International Real Estate Investment / Portfolio Management"
at the 1997 Annual Meeting of the American Real Estate Society.
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Institutional Investor Impact on Equity REIT Performance
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Richard A. Graff and Michael S. Young.
Real Estate Finance, Fall 1997, 14:3, 31-39.
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Apples to Oranges? The Capitalization versus Expensing Debate and Performance Return Comparisons
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Timothy W. Viezer and Michael S. Young.
Real Estate Finance, Fall 1997, 14:3, 64-74.
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Don't Risk Your Financial Health Without a Second Opinion
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Richard A. Graff and Michael S. Young.
Institutional Real Estate Securities, May 1997, 2, 19-22.
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Performance Persistence in Equity Real Estate Returns
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Michael S. Young and Richard A. Graff.
Real Estate Finance, Spring 1997, 14:1, 37-42.
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Understanding Equity Real Estate Performance: Insights from the NCREIF Property Index
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Michael S. Young, David M. Geltner, Willard McIntosh, and Douglas M. Poutasse.
Real Estate Review, Winter 1996, 25:4, 4-16.
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Capital Expenditures: Be Careful How You Count
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Michael S. Young.
Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, 1996, 2:2, 169-174.
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Systematic Behavior in Real Estate Investment Risk: Performance Persistence in NCREIF Returns
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Michael S. Young and Richard A. Graff.
Journal of Real Estate Research, 1996, 12:3, 369-381.
Winner of Prize for "Best Paper Presented on Real Estate Investment / Portfolio Management"
at the 1996 Annual Meeting of the American Real Estate Society.
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Real Estate Return Correlations: Real-World Limitations on Relationships Inferred from NCREIF Data
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Richard A. Graff and Michael S. Young.
Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, September 1996, 13:2, 121-142.
Winner of Prize for "Best Paper Presented by a Practicing Real Estate Professional"
at the 1994 Annual Meeting of the American Real Estate Society.
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The Impact of Real Estate Investment Manager Mergers
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Webb Sowden and Michael S. Young.
Real Estate Review, Summer 1996, 26:2, 7-13.
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Defining Commercial Property Income and Appreciation Returns for Comparability to Stock Market-Based Measures
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Michael S. Young, David M. Geltner, Willard McIntosh, and Douglas M. Poutasse.
Real Estate Finance, Summer 1995, 12:2, 19-30.
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Real Estate is Not Normal: A Fresh Look at Real Estate Return Distributions
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Michael S. Young and Richard A. Graff.
Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, May 1995, 10:3, 225-259.
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Why Diversification Doesn't Work
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Donald A. King, Jr. and Michael S. Young.
Real Estate Review, Summer 1994, 25:2, 6-12.
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Drums Along the Efficient Frontier
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Michael S. Young and D. Wylie Greig.
Real Estate Review, Winter 1993, 22:4, 18-29.
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New Measures of Future Property Performance and Risk
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D. Wylie Greig and Michael S. Young.
Real Estate Review, Spring 1991, 21:1, 17-25.
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Comparative Investment Performance: Common Stocks versus Real Estate--A Proposal on Methodology
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Real Estate Issues, Summer 1977, 2, 30-46.
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Evaluating the Risk of Investment Real Estate
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The Real Estate Appraiser, September/October 1977, 43, 39-45.
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Evaluating Major Investment Properties
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____ and Jared Shlaes, The Appraisal Journal, January 1978, 46, 101-111.
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The Rezoning Decision: Economic Analysis in an Uncertain Political Climate
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The Real Estate Appraiser, March/April 1978, 44, 41-46.
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New Shelters in Old Properties: The Tax Reform Act of 1976
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____ and Richard J. Roddewig, Real Estate Issues, Winter 1978, 3, 9-30.
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Neighborhood Revitalization and the Historic Preservation Incentives of the Tax Reform Act of 1976: Lessons from the Bottom Line of a Chicago Red Brick Three-Flat
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____ and Richard J. Roddewig, The Urban Lawyer, Winter 1979, 11, 35-74.
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FMRR: A Clever Hoax?
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The Appraisal Journal, July 1979, 47, 359-369.
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Real Estate Tax Impact of Condominium Conversions: A Chicago Perspective
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____ and Richard J. Roddewig, The Appraisal Journal, January 1980, 48, 118-120.
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Inflation, Valuation, and the Petersburg Paradox
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The Appraisal Journal, January 1980, 48, 85-94.
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Ellwood: At Last, The Final Word
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The Appraisal Journal, April 1980, 48, 287-289.
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Capitalization Rate Adjustments for the Valuation of Leased Real Estate
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The Appraisal Journal, July 1980, 48, 392-400.
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Rental Rate Adjustments for Multi-Year Leases
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Journal of Property Management, November/December 1980, 45, 326-328.
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Financing Real Estate Investments of Pension Funds
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____, Richard T. Garrigan, and Mark J. Sullivan, Real Estate Review, Winter 1981, 10:4, 57-63.
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A Differential Approach to Income Property Valuation: A New Measurement Technique
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____ and Stephen G. Sykes, The Appraisal Journal, April 1981, 49, 214-233.
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Pension Fund Policy Guidelines for Leveraged Investments
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____, Richard T. Garrigan, and Mark J. Sullivan, Journal of Pension Planning and Compliance, May 1981, 7, 194-201.
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Where is the Real Estate Software?
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____ and Noah D. Shlaes, Journal of Property Management, September/October 1982, 47, 45-46.
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Measuring the Performance of Real Estate Assets and Its Managers
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Proceedings: Seminar on the Analysis of Security Prices, Center for Research in Security Prices, Chicago, Illinois, November 1982, 27:2, 115-138.
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Using Tools of Science in Managing Real Estate Assets
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Pension World, December 1982, 23-26.
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A Note on the Nonequivalence of NPV and IRR
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The Appraisal Journal, July 1983, 51, 459-461.
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The Contribution of Real Estate to a Mixed Asset Portfolio
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____ and Richard T. Garrigan, Journal of Pension Planning and Compliance, August 1983, 9, 291-302.
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Differentiating Between Computer-based Property Management and Asset Management Systems
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The Journal of Property Management, September/October 1983, 48, 6-11.
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Improving the Marketability of Commercial Real Estate with Computers
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Commercial Investment Journal, Winter 1983, 2, 11-14.
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Overlooking the Minicomputer May be a Costly Mistake
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Journal of Property Management, January/February 1984, 49, 50-51.
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Good Users Create Good Software
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Journal of Property Management, November/December 1984, 49, 62.
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Desktop Presentation Software
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The Quarterly Byte, American Institute of Real Estate Appraisers, Third Quarter 1989, 5, 8-11.
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Capitalization Rate Differences Among Property Types and Number of Tenants
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unpublished article, RARE Investment Advisors, February 1990.
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Single-Tenant Properties: The Hidden Opportunity for Institutional Investors
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____ and Peter Steil, unpublished article, RARE Investment Advisors, May 1990.
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Apartment Index: Gaining Stature
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The NCREIF Real Estate Performance Report, National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries and Frank Russell Company, Second Quarter 1992, 5.
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The Retail Sector Revisited and Dissected
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____ and Richard Kateley, The NCREIF Real Estate Performance Report, National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries and Frank Russell Company, First Quarter 1993, 10-13.
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Not from the Computer, But from the Manager's Experience and Skill
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____ and D. Wylie Grieg, PREA Quarterly, July 1993, 6, 40.
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Equity Real Estate Returns: Comparisons [sic] of the Russell-NCREIF Index
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Journal of Property Management, March/April 1994, 59, 56-59.
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Leases as a Key to Performance and Value: Understanding What You Have Versus What You Hope For
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____ and D. Wylie Greig, Chapter 4 in the Handbook of Real Estate Portfolio Management, Dow-Jones Irwin, Homewood, IL, 1995.
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Limitations on the Accuracy of Markowitz Optimization: The Efficient Frontier as a Family of Sample Statistics
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____, Richard A. Graff, and Ronald J. Schoenberg, unpublished manuscript, March 1995.
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Modern Real Estate Investment, An Institutional Approach
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by Stephen E. Roulac, The Appraisal Journal, April 1977, 45, 307-309.
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Real Estate Investment and Finance
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by Sherman J. Maisel and Stephen E. Roulac, The Appraisal Journal, July 1977, 45, 470-471.
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Analyzing Real Estate Opportunities, Market and Feasibility Studies
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by Stephen D. Messner, Byrl N. Boyce, Harold G. Trimble, and Robert L. Ward, The Appraisal Journal, April 1978, 46, 312-314.
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The Real Estate Investor and the Federal Income Tax
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by Gaylon E. Greer, The Appraisal Journal, January 1979, 47, 142-143.
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The Real Estate Investment Decision
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by Gaylon E. Greer, The Appraisal Journal, July 1980, 48, 465-467.
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How to Conduct and Analyze Real Estate Market and Feasibility Studies
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by G. Vincent Barrett and John P. Blair, The Appraisal Journal, April 1982, 50, 296-297.
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Real Estate Investment Decision Making
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by Austin J. Jaffe and C.F. Sirmans, The Appraisal Journal, October 1982, 50, 616-618.
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Real Estate Investment; Strategy, Analysis, Decisions
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by Stephen A. Phyrr and James R. Cooper, The Appraisal Journal, October 1982, 50, 616-618.
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