iPod: The Anthropology
The iPod is already amazing on so many levels
– not just the device and its impact on consumer electronics but how its
effect is not only felt in pop & societal culture but also how it managed
and manages to confound so many
people.
The problem is that one really needs
to understand pop culture, marketing, the financial markets; technology,
computers, personal electronics and importantly, MUSIC to really begin to proper
understand the iPod and its lasting
impact.
Let’s get a few major points
out of the way.
No matter what you attribute the
success of the iPod to – it’s simply an amazing phenomenon. If you
were to create a list of products that have sold worldwide in the 40+ million
range in the last 50 years – that would be a pretty short list. If you add
in the fact that the average selling price of the item probably averaged @$250
over the current 5 year life span of the iPod? Your list would be pretty tiny.
So it’s not a fluke or a fad.
And the iPod is really the
world’s first mass market customized product that touches kids and adults.
That sounds like a misnomer but if you understand consumer markets, marketing
and the business end of products – you’ll soon see why the iPod
cannot be beaten anytime soon.
But we’ll get back to that in a
bit.
First, let’s get some of the
fallacies out of the way:
iTunes Music is
closed/proprietary.
No, in fact, iTunes is about as open
as you can be. Unlike your other entertainment choices such as a DVD, book or
even a CD, iTunes lets you make a FULL backup of the tracks you buy from the
Apple iTunes music store as a “data” file or better yet as an AUDIO
CD playable on BILLIONS of devices worldwide. How difficult? Highlight. Click
and put in a blank CD-R. It does the rest.
You are technically breaking the law
by making a copy of your DVD. You cannot make a legal reproduction of your book
and its pages and making a backup of a CD requires another couple steps. Only
Apple’s tracks (Fairplay m4p) offers you a chance to strip out the DRM
forever.
In all fairness, WMA stores also
offer you essentially the same option.
Which brings us to Fallacy
#2
Yea, but iTunes Music is
closed/proprietary.
So are WMA stores and
Microsoft’s DRM. And unlike DVD’s or books – only music gives
you a choice. You can buy the highest fidelity consumer option as a CD*. OR you
can buy the same tracks as an Apple Fairplay m4p track OR you can buy it as a
WMA track from one of the many WMA
stores.
And since everyone pretty sells
EXACTLY the same tracks (other than a few hundred exclusives), and the all cost
about the same AND you can convert them all to audio CD formats at any time you
choose, if you own an ipod, why not buy from the Apple store? The perfect
analogy is two Starbucks on opposite corners. They sell EXACTLY the same thing
but if for some reason, you prefer to wait for the light and cross the street to
go to more inconvenient one – go right ahead but there’s also one
right here for you on this side of the
street.
AND MOST IMPORTANTLY, if you hate
Starbucks. You have Peet’s Coffee also but it’s a block away –
analogous to CD’s.
*Of course, Sony with their root kit
failed to offer you the highest fidelity on a CD format with their WMA player as
default playback on a computer and no copying – as Wendy’s used to
say – One choice is no choice.
Which brings us to Fallacy
#3
The iTunes Store/iPod is a
Monopoly.
With iTunes market share in the high
70%, and with iPods at 85-90% of the market, it is in the most un-educated sense
a monopoly. But before you go wildly off base ...
Having a high market share does NOT
make it a monopoly!
A TRUE ILLEGAL monopoly as defined in
economic terms means you use your high market position to lock out your
competitors and to generally be the bully on the
block.
Does Apple prevent other online
stores from selling the same tracks?
NO.
Does Apple prevent you the consumer
from obtaining the tracks from some other source? (CD store, mail order, etc
...)? NO.
Does Apple have the lowest price (to
drive out competitors by possibly selling at a loss?)
NO.
Does Apple prevent you from loading
tracks from other sources onto the iPod?
NO.
Never mind that the iPod plays back 8
formats and on the PC side will convert unprotected WMA to one of iPod’s 8
formats, (protected WMA to audio CD can go right back to iPod ... slight
inconvenience is not considered a major
hindrance)
Does Apple prevent retailers from
selling competing Mp3 players? NO.
Does Apple prevent manufacturers from
creating competing Mp3 players? NO.
In all fairness, some governments are
looking at Apple’s deal to lock up the NAND Flash drive market as a
“monopolistic” maneuver and it’s too early to say how it will
be ruled but since Intel & Micron just announced they were building a new
NAND Flash plant, it’s not as though Samsung has proprietary technology
AND it’s just normal course of business if you’re smart or big
enough to lock up a supplier to make only a part for you – just as auto
makers have suppliers who will only work on their parts so ultimately, it should
not be ruled monopolistic.
Which leads us to the biggest
fallacy.
The iTunes Store/iPod Success is due
to its Marketing.
Is Apple a smart marketer? You bet.
Apple gets more free PR than the next 5 companies combined. Other than the movie
studios, the TV networks and the President of the United States – Apple is
talked about every other 5 minutes but that’s not the sole or even the
most important reason for the success of the
iPod.
Here are some of the KEY reasons for
the success of the iPod and until someone can deliver on all of these or Apple
fails to deliver on all of them going forward, the iPod is unassailable and
UNTOUCHABLE.
DESIGN
Apple has one key advantage –
Steve Jobs. No other consumer electronics company has one guy who is respected
(and feared) by marketing, engineering and design – if he says it’s
not good enough – you know it’s not good enough. What are you going
against? The guy who fought for the Macintosh 1984 ad? The guy who launched the
consumer personal computer market, the online digital music market and who knows
what else? The guy who had a hand in launching some 4-5 iconic products that
will stand the test of time? (Mac, iPod, iMac, Apple II, etc ...) not to mention
his work at Pixar ... who are YOU to question if he says your scroll wheel is no
good or the headphones are not solid feeling enough? Dozens of companies have
world class designers but their product is either designed just to win awards or
gets neutered by marketing or manufacturing (we’ll put plastic here, we
can say $.04 a unit!) and very few companies have a guy respected and feared
enough where everyone just gets in
line.
The principle behind the portable mp3
player is simple enough. I want to listen to music. I want to load my music
easily. I want to scroll, play, back up, go forward, and turn up the volume
& down.
Why was Apple able to deliver on
these simple principles and no one else really? Two reasons. Besides missing a
gatekeeper like Steve Jobs, they are/were companies either run by marketers or
by engineers but unfortunately for them – not by both. The marketers
believe in brochureware – as long as we have the most features, we will
win the market share battle. That’s fine for graphics card or PC speakers
when everyone shops by specs – as long as you provide drivers to run the
card or the speakers, all is well. These people are confused, confounded and
puzzled as to why their mp3 player clearly has way more brochure check marks is
not out-selling the iPod. PEOPLE are STUPID (people as in us, the consumer)
– can’t they clearly see how many check marks are ticked off on the
box?! We MUST be fooled by Apple marketing (is the only conclusion they can
draw). That’s why when Apple had 5 Mini colors, one of their competitors
had 10 – we have twice as many colors! We should sell twice as much! That
same competitor now has an ipod look-alike (well, if you’re legally blind
and standing 25 feet away) AND it comes in three colors! We should sell three
times as many!
To them, they pick up an iPod and
think, we can do this – it’s just a HDD (or NAND drive) with a
screen and some navigation device – they just don’t get
it.
But that’s the key to
Apple’s design success. The iPod is a media player that happens to have a
storage disk. Everyone else thinks it’s a portable hard drive that can
play media. That’s the engineers/manufacturers talking. They think their
job is done if they can get everything crammed in there that marketing asked for
and they can manufacturer it for the agreed upon price. They believe it’s
up to them to say when something is done and if marketing questions them –
what do they know about components? We’ll just tell them we can’t do
it or it’ll cost another $10 wholesale – that’ll shut them up.
So all the other
“features” that people are always screaming about – clearly by
the sales of the ALL the other Mp3 players COMBINED should prove to you that
very FEW OTHER people CARE ENOUGH.
And of course, that’s just the
INSIDE of the iPod – the outside of the iPod? Again, not just world class
but is a fitting showcase for the work done on the inside AND of o=f course
– leading to the next major key reason for the success of the iPod
...
THE
USER/SYNCING
Unfortunately for Apple’s
competitors, they think their work is done when they can manufacturer their
product for X dollars and it features X+1 features. They believe they are done
when their product ships – the rest they could care less about. They
worked on the principle that they were smarter than you and if they came up a
solution, who were consumers to question it? There was an mp3 player that
required all songs be placed in folders marked FOLDER_01, FOLDER_02, etc ... or
the player did NOT recognize any of the tracks inside. As an engineer might say,
‘deal with it.” Or the mp3 player where the battery would fall out
but hey, marketing wanted a replaceable battery to trump the ipod, here ya go.
Of course, the iPod goes deeper in
little steps. You pull out your headphones, the playback stops right there
– paused – waiting for you to plug back in ... or of course, a HOLD
button so jostling wouldn’t affect your playback from volume to fast
forward, etc ... one competing mp3 player required you to navigate 3 menus deep
to access HOLD.
And of course, that extended to
syncing. Apple had the forethought to design a jukebox to do it all. Plug in
your ipod. Itunes launches. If it’s activated, it synced EVERYTHING so you
don’t have to guess. You can even burn a CD right there. And of course,
along the way others choices and options were added but the principle has always
been the same – how do we make it easier for you?
For those using the latest version of
the Windows Jukebox, funny, it looks much like iTunes ... go back one version
and it looks completely differently – not to mention you had to go buy
another piece of software to burn a CD-R.
There were some WMA players that
required you to use Internet Explorer to load tracks. No syncing. You had to
start over to move tracks around ... or the Dell DJ until recently –
you’re not allowed to load two tracks with the same track name in one
playlist ... yea, can’t imagine a scenario where anyone would want to
listen to the same song even by two different artists ... again, not a media
player – it’s a portable HDD that can play back
media.
After all this time, you think
they’d learn? Not really, not to embarrass any particular brand but a
recent PC magazine (and not a Mac magazine) tested out 10 portable mp3 &
media players – here are some of the flaws of the iPod competitors ...
display grainy, can't listen to music & view photos at the same time, bass
causes player to make clicking noise, no mp3 ID tag info on screen, gridlines
across the screen, playback limited to low res video and requires proprietary
software to encode video.
So until Apple’ competitors fix
their major flaws, they’re not going to get any traction in the
marketplace.
ITUNES MUSIC
STORE
Mac users take it for granted you can
plug in an external device, it launches an app and it shows up on the desktop
and your files are ready to sync or are already
syncing.
Most PC users are surprised the iPod
works just as well on the PC side – you build a library of tracks in
iTunes. You plug in your ipod, you un-mount. You are ready to go. That’s
it.
The software is simplistic in
appearance and I’m certainly not arguing it’s perfect but everything
is straightforward and it’s Apple smart. Once you place a track in the
iPod Library, you can drag it to as many playlists as you want – some PC
jukeboxes require you to load the song again and again for EVERY playlist you
want the song to appear in.
It’s no wonder that the
re-designed Microsoft Mp3 jukebox now looks like iTunes and surprise so does
Sony’s Connect.
Of course, the next major upgrade was
the iTunes Music Store. Again, some people are quick to dismiss it as even
possible to sell tracks online but until Apple came along, some online stores
were happy to sell 100,000 tracks a YEAR calling it a great year. Apple has sold
over 600 MILLION tracks from ZERO in 4 years. Again, its simplicity is deceiving
– it’s all-seamless from CLICK to DOWNLOADING to placing into your
PURCHASED list. No need to click 11 times to buy an album and if you try to buy
the track again, iTunes will thoughtfully point out you have purchased it
already.
Now the success of the iTunes stores
peeves off many people and they have developed an entirely new litany of
complaints.
First, I’m not advocate of DRM.
But the DRM on Apple’s Fairplay is like a 2-foot fence. If you can’t
hop that, you’ve got other issues but the attitude of 90% of those who
loath the iTunes Store is seemingly based on the belief that they can see
through the “scam” and anyone who buys a track is a
dupe.
First, your restrictions are listed
right upfront. Unlike CD’s with restrictions included sealed inside or the
Sony rootkit – there is no surprise. If you choose to buy this particular
product – here are your restrictions. And unlike many other products with
restrictions, we have a choice to go buy the CD or even buy a WMA track
NEVERMIND that you can legally erase this restriction in a few
minutes.
And yes, it’s 128kbps –
again, not a surprise. It’s an adequate format. It is compressed but so
are CD’s. Yes, CD’s are a compressed audio format also. Short of you
having a seat in the center inside the recording studio, everything is a
reproduction – some better than others but it’s a tradeoff LIKE
EVERYTHING YOU BUY.
Yes, like EVERYTHING ELSE YOU
BUY.
The iTunes Store promises you this.
Here is a 128kbps audio track. You can listen to 30 seconds of it. You can click
to buy it and you can have it (generally) in less than :60 seconds. Done.
No calls to see if it’s in
stock. No driving to a store in hopes they have it. No need to buy 12 tracks to
get the one you want. Etc, etc ... I’m NOT saying it’s better than a
CD or even better than a WMA track. It doesn’t promise you the moon. It
promises convenience and near instant gratification. That’s ALL. And for
MANY people, that’s enough. And unlike other competitors, you can
completely ignore the iTunes Store.
And now, of course the Video
Store.
And let’s get a few more
fallacies out of the way.
The iPod only plays tracks
from the iTunes Store.
No, and unlike the older Sony players
that insisted on converting ONE WAY ONLY all your mp3’s to ATRAC3, the
iPod could care less. Load 10,000 Mp3’s converted from your CD collection
or buy 10,000 tracks from iTunes – THEY WILL PLAY BACK EXACTLY THE
SAME.
If your computer crashes (hard drive
dies), you lose your songs.
Yes, but why are digital files
different than anything else in your life? Lose a CD – will the store give
you another one? Lose your car keys? You’ve never lost anything else in
your life? Or more likely, grow weary and put it away? How many CD’s in
your collection disappear with every move you’ve
made?
ATTACK ATTACK
ATTACK
By design and by luck, Apple has
moved the fight every time someone gets within 100 miles of the
iPod.
No Windows Access.
DONE.
No Online Music Store.
DONE.
No Smaller Drives.
DONE.
No Photos.
DONE.
No Flash Versions.
DONE.
No Color Screen.
DONE.
No Video.
DONE.
No Online Video Store.
DONE.
And that’s just the past 4
years – What’s Next? Clearly NOT
DONE.
In today’s buyer’s
market, you keep pressing your advantage until your competitors are
DONE.
THE ACCESSORIES
“COTTAGE” INDUSTRY
Clearly, now not just a cottage
industry anymore but fuel for the world first Mass Market Customizable
Item.
Add in MARKETING &
PR,
You have the world’s first MASS
MARKET CUSTOMIZABLE ITEM.
Manufacturers, sellers, companies
– have two goals in creating a new
product.
Make People Want to Buy
it.
Sell a HUGE Amount of it.
Pretty
Simple.
But very hard to pull off for an
extended period of time. Yes, you can get people to buy almost anything for a
short period of time before people become dis-satisfied or another new
“better” (newer) and shinier object
appears.
Ultimately there are really only two
markets: The trendsetters and the mass market
followers.
In many senses, it’s easy to
create a product that trendsetters will gravitate towards – make it new,
make it exclusive and usually make it
expensive.
Now, if successful, it’s a
lucrative business as your margins are great. These are the $5,000 handbags, the
$500 sneakers and the $2,000 cell phone. But it’s ultimately limiting as
the trendsetters move on and of course, if you lower prices or even sell a lower
priced line in an attempt to broaden your market greatly, you lose some of your
cachet as exclusive.
And generally copy-catters will copy
some of the elements of your design and the mass market will buy those choices
– diluting the look & feel – causing the trendsetters to move on
as more people on the streets are “closing in” as it
were.
Some companies choose one target or
the other. They know that there will some overlap but if they choose to pursue
the mass market, the trend setters (and their margins) will whither away fairly
rapidly.
But the iPod breaks that set pattern
due to:
Apple design (inside &
out)
Apple’s constant changing
designs and the initial exclusivity and limitedness of each new
iPod.
Apple’s stagnated pace of
add-on of features (online music store, photos, video, video online store, etc
...) that not only appeals to the trend setters but also increases the perceived
utility for the mass market to
follow.
AND a little luck with the 1,000+ 3rd
party accessories, which seals the deal. Even the mass market is loath to appear
to be too mass market but ...
EVERY iPod is MASS MARKET but yet
UNIQUE because every iPod is a ONE of a KIND ITEM in the WHOLE
WORLD.
There are no two iPods completely the
SAME!
It’s Mass
Market.
It’s
Custom.
The closest equivalent are cars but
at $15,000 (at least) for the cheapest car that others might envy ... the price
of entry into the fabulous world of the iPod is only
$99.
Cell phones are close but since most
people are restricted to their choices when they signed up and with a few
exceptions of literally 1,000 phones – 99.5% are just a hunk of plastic
with a user interface only someone who works at a telecommunications utility
could love.
The iPod on the other hand is
literally everything to EVERYONE
DIFFERENT.
It’s pink with Swarovski
Crystals and a playlist of teenage Rocker
“Grrls.”
It’s black with a blood wrap
and 1,200 Nu-Metal songs.
It’s a bootable Linux
machine.
It’s a showcase in size
(applicable to almost any iPod at any time of
release).
It’s a commuter’s video
player of last night’s LOST.
It’s the portable photo backup
on vacation and at the end of the night – plug it into a TV and watch it
right then.
It’s the perfect soundtrack for
going through the yearbook or deep in snow
country.
Because nearly EVERY aspect of the
iPod is customizable to reflect your personality – starting with the
content. It is the very personal soundtrack to your life. Then you work your way
out from the skin or box to add-ons to the $300 noise canceling headphones to
the wireless streaming box to the connector that lets you use your BMW M3
steering wheel to control the content – that’s the design and
accidental luck of the power of the
iPod.
(Luck - You cannot get 300 vendors to
make 1,000 accessories for your product if you begged – it has to happen
organically).
It’s the Early Adopter/Trend
Setter Toy because there’s always another one coming and it’s always
new – it’s exclusive but it’s also customizable so
they’re not “embarrassed” to carry it around after 3 weeks
because the music inside makes it their very own exclusive
object.
And for the Mass Market, it’s
has two fold sway – it’s both a useful tool and it offers them
cachet as trendy & being able to afford something “trendy” and
exclusive.
Again, the price of entry is only $99
and Apple has smartly priced it so it’s enticing to just jump a little. If
you’re considering the SHUFFLE, for only $70 more, you can have a color
screen and the amazingly sized NANO. If you’re considering the NANO, for
$50 more, get one with the twice the capacity and/or why not for another jump to
the iPod Video?
And that’s how you build the
world’s first Mass Market Customizable product.
That’s why the iPod is not a
fad but it is literally all things to all
people.
And that’s how you lock out
your competitors because Apple holds sway over the Early Adopters/Trend Setters
& the Mass Market – leaving non iPod buyers to either feel they missed
the boat on something new & exclusive or to the “average” mass
market buyer – you couldn’t afford $99?
The only people left for all the
other mp3 companies are basically people who simply like going the grain. They
are psychologically suspicious of anything popular – as if they are the
only ones smart enough not to fall or be duped. That’s why it’s even
harder for Apple’s competitors to gain traction because the only market
really left to them are the bargain hunters and consumers who resent having to
buy their product by default – as they cannot be seen buying anything
remotely popular. And most of Apple’s competitors’ players
don’t help matters by all having some major flaw or missing feature
– the consumers “forced” to buy their products are certainly
not going to be starting a groundswell viral marketing campaign of good
word-of-mouth to overtake the iPod.
Which of course makes the new
competitors players that look just like iPods puzzling (there are at least 4)
(and again, if you stand 20 feet away in low light) because they clearly
don’t understand their only appeal right now is to market to those who
loath the popularity of the iPod so why would they buy a prototype looking
chunky ipod look-alike – causing them to spend their time answering one
question, “if you like that look, why didn’t you just buy an
ipod?” If anything, building a shabby iPod look-alike is probably going to
make the remaining 10% of the market, throw up their arms and just buy an iPod
... oh, yes – those competitors? They’re priced the same or HIGHER
than the iPod.
Of course, an iPod is not a necessity
of life. And if you’re not a computer user, it’s hard to figure out
how to get content on it or if you simply don’t need to listen to
thousands of songs but as the world economy grows – Apple’s
potential selling audience is probably close to 600-800 million so anything
could happen here on out but it’ll take some serious competition and for
Apple to seriously slip for anything to change in the near future.
Neither looks to be happening on the
horizon soon. Of course, there’s competition but name one industry where
people aren’t fighting like feral dogs for 1% share and
there?
So, while there are pessimists who
worry about how much upside there is – there is plenty. The transition is
just beginning but with the competitors still believing it’s just the
outer casing and Apple marketing as the key success to the iPod, iPod’s
reign is pretty secure.
And yes, there are plenty of WMA
stores including the new MS MTV one but asking teen-agers to dump their iPod to
use an iPod look-alike ... as if.
Posted: Sat
- January 7, 2006 at 12:29 PM