Marz's Blackjack Winnings and Losings Tracking
OK, so if Marz is so smart about Blackjack, why isn't he making his living
playing it? Well, remember the 4 keys to winning at Blackjack from the Blackjack
101 page? Marz's only problem is Bankroll. He doesn't have a
sufficient bankroll to earn his living on it. How much of a Bankroll does
he need? Well, Since I am only willing to lose 20 units per session, I
need to be able to survive anywhere from 6-10 lossing sessions in a row
from the beginning. At $100 per unit that comes to $2000 per session. I
need to have between $12,000 to $20,000 of available money to do this.
Anyone want to send me a spare $20,000? ;)
So Marz is SOL, huh? Well yes and no. While he doesn't have the money for
it, he has the ability to conduct real world simulations. How you ask?
Well at Dave & Buster's of course!
Every day that I am there I take an initial 10 units. I play until I
either have lost that 10 units and then another 10 units, or until I have
won at least 3 units. I've always kept a kind of mental track of how well
I do just playing around, but never kept a record of it until recently.
Below is a table showing how well I'm doing. These are the conditions:
- Units are D&B $1000 chips (used to insure proper BJ payout since D&B
does not have $50 chips). These equate to $100 in the "real world."
- All play is according to a close approximation to
Marz Basic Strategy. No splitting
of 5's or 10's is done, nor doubling of hard 12's, or any of the really stupid
stuff on there. That's more of my D&B strategy when I'm messing around with fake money.
- 3 Betting strategies are used based how "hot or "cold" the table is.
I'll switch to the Secondary if I cannot win two hands in a row. If I can
only win 3 hands in a row, I'll use the Tertiary method.
- Normally play is one-on-one with the dealer as this is done at the
beginning of the night when I have no players. I do not play on a table of
paying players when I am doing this while working. This is my preferred
style of play, but other people do not really matter when I'm at the table.
- I "leave" after losing 20 units.
- I "leave" after winning at least 3 units. However I will not leave
while in a winning streak. I leave when I am up the minimum required units
and have lost a hand. i.e. I'm up 10 units during a winning streak, have 1
unit bet, and lose netting 9 units.
Blackjack Tracking
| Date |
Winnings |
Losings |
Net |
Running Total |
| 3/25/98 |
$1200 |
-$0 |
$1200 |
$1200 |
| 3/26/98 |
$2000 |
-$0 |
$3200 |
$3200 |
| 3/27/98 |
$2400 |
-$0 |
$5600 |
$5600 |
| 3/28/98 |
$0 |
-$2000 |
$3600 |
$3600 |
| 3/29/98 |
$600 |
-$0 |
$4200 |
$4200 |
| 4/1/98 |
$0 |
-$2000 |
$2200 |
$2200 |
| 4/2/98 |
$0 |
-$2000 |
$200 |
$200 |
| 4/3/98 |
$600 |
-$0 |
$800 |
$800 |
| 4/4/98 |
$650 |
-$0 |
$1450 |
$1450 |
| 4/5/98 |
$600 |
-$0 |
$2050 |
$2050 |
| 4/6/98 |
$550 |
-$0 |
$2600 |
$2600 |
| 4/7/98 |
$700 |
-$0 |
$3300 |
$3300 |
| 4/8/98 |
$550 |
-$0 |
$3850 |
$3850 |
| 4/9/98 |
$1600 |
-$0 |
$5450 |
$5450 |
| 4/11/98 |
$1000 |
-$0 |
$6450 |
$6450 |
| 4/12/98 |
$1700 |
-$0 |
$8150 |
$8150 |
| 4/13/98 |
$400 |
-$0 |
$8550 |
$8550 |
| 4/16/98 |
$600 |
-$0 |
$9150 |
$9150 |
| 4/17/98 |
$0 |
-$2000 |
$7150 |
$7150 |
| 4/18/98 |
$0 |
-$2000 |
$5150 |
$5150 |
| 4/20/98 |
$1350 |
-$0 |
$6500 |
$6500 |
| 4/21/98 |
$1000 |
-$0 |
$7500 |
$7500 |
| 4/22/98 |
$1150 |
-$0 |
$8650 |
$8650 |
| 4/23/98 |
$950 |
-$0 |
$9600 |
$9600 |
| 4/24/98 |
$1150 |
-$0 |
$10750 |
$10750 |
| Monthly Total |
$20750 |
-$10000 |
$10750 |
$10750 |
| Date |
Winnings |
Losings |
Net |
Running Total |
| 4/25/98 |
$0 |
-$2000 |
-$2000 |
$8750 |
| 4/28/98 |
$850 |
-$0 |
-$1150 |
$9600 |
| 4/29/98 |
$0 |
-$2000 |
-$3150 |
$7600 |
| 4/30/98 |
$650 |
-$0 |
-$2500 |
$8250 |
| 5/1/98 |
$0 |
-$2000 |
-$4500 |
$6250 |
| 5/5/98 |
$0 |
-$2000 |
-$6500 |
$4250 |
| 5/6/98 |
$0 |
-$2000 |
-$8500 |
$4250 |
| 5/7/98 |
$1000 |
-$0 |
-$7500 |
$3250 |
| 5/8/98 |
$1350 |
-$0 |
-$6150 |
$4600 |
| 5/9/98 |
$1200 |
-$0 |
-$4950 |
$5800 |
| 5/11/98 |
$600 |
-$0 |
-$4350 |
$6400 |
| 5/12/98 |
$900 |
-$0 |
-$3450 |
$7300 |
| 5/13/98 |
$350 |
-$0 |
-$3100 |
$7600 |
| 5/14/98 |
$1000 |
-$0 |
-$2100 |
$8650 |
| 5/15/98 |
$600 |
-$0 |
-$1500 |
$9250 |
| 5/16/98 |
$1100 |
-$0 |
-$400 |
$10350 |
| 5/18/98 |
$0 |
-$2000 |
-$2400 |
$8350 |
| 5/19/98 |
$450 |
-$0 |
-$1950 |
$8800 |
| 5/20/98 |
$0 |
-$2000 |
-$3950 |
$6800 |
| 5/21/98 |
$1000 |
-$0 |
-$2950 |
$7800 |
| 5/26/98 |
$600 |
-$0 |
-$2350 |
$8400 |
| 5/27/98 |
$ |
-$2000 |
-$4350 |
$6400 |
| 5/28/98 |
$1300 |
-$0 |
-$3050 |
$7700 |
| 5/29/98 |
$1400 |
-$0 |
-$1650 |
$9100 |
| 6/1/98 |
$0 |
-$2000 |
-$3650 |
$7100 |
| Monthly Total |
$14350 |
-$18000 |
-$3650 |
$7100 |
| Date |
Winnings |
Losings |
Net |
Running Total |
| 6/2/98 |
$0 |
-$2000 |
-$2000 |
$5100 |
| 6/10/98 |
$1450 |
-$0 |
-$550 |
$6550 |
| 6/11/98 |
$1300 |
-$0 |
$750 |
$7850 |
| 6/12/98 |
$0 |
-$2000 |
-$1250 |
$5850 |
| 6/13/98 |
$1300 |
-$0 |
$50 |
$7150 |
| 6/19/98 |
$500 |
-$0 |
$550 |
$7650 |
| 6/23/98 |
$0 |
-$2000 |
-$1450 |
$5650 |
| 6/24/98 |
$2550 |
-$0 |
$1100 |
$8200 |
| 7/20/98 |
$500 |
-$0 |
$1600 |
$8700 |
| 7/22/98 |
$400 |
-$0 |
$2000 |
$9100 |
| 8/4/98 |
$0 |
-$2000 |
$0 |
$7100 |
| 8/5/98 |
$850 |
-$0 |
$850 |
$7950 |
| 8/16/98 |
$1150 |
-$0 |
$2000 |
$9100 |
| 8/17/98 |
$2000 |
-$0 |
$4000 |
$11100 |
| 8/20/98 |
$1100 |
-$0 |
$5100 |
$12200 |
| 8/25/98 |
$450 |
-$0 |
$5550 |
$12650 |
| 9/4/98 |
$800 |
-$0 |
$6350 |
$13450 |
| 9/8/98 |
$350 |
-$0 |
$6700 |
$13800 |
| 9/9/98 |
$500 |
-$0 |
$7200 |
$14300 |
| 9/11/98 |
$500 |
-$0 |
$7700 |
$14800 |
| 9/15/98 |
$1100 |
-$0 |
$8800 |
$15900 |
| 9/21/98 |
$0 |
-$2000 |
$6800 |
$13900 |
| 9/23/98 |
$1550 |
-$0 |
$8350 |
$15450 |
| 9/24/98 |
$700 |
-$0 |
$90500 |
$16150 |
| 9/28/98 |
$400 |
-$0 |
$9450 |
$16550 |
| Monthly Total |
$19450 |
-$10000 |
$9450 |
$16550 |
| Total Days |
Avg Win/Loss |
Est'd Yearly Earnings |
| 75 |
$221 |
$66,200 |
For the first month I did very well. I managed to earn over $10,000. The
second month was a net loss of $3650. Not a very good month, but at least
I was still up overall. The third month saw a return to positive earnings.
I net $9450. Almost as much as the first month. Over the 75 day period my
net earnings were $16,550 for an average of $221/day. If the same trend
continued over a year's time, I would earn over $66,000. All for working
maybe 30 minutes to 2 hours per day playing Blackjack at only $100/hand.
Not bad, eh?
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