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The Dick Clark List
The ListThe List (Alpha)What is It?The RulesMore Info

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The List

key:
candidates nominated, but still alive
candidates who died in the predicted year (and date of death)
candidates who died in subsequent years (and date of death)
1990-91
Ronald Reagan
We started this Death Pool back when Chris Lathan and Mark Adler made a bet in college about whether Reagan would die before Chris graduated.
Mark won a shiny new quarter.
(Finally died June 5, 2004)
1992
Isaac Asimov (Apr. 6, 1992)1
Tip O'Neil (Jan. 5, 1994)
George Burns (Mar. 9, 1996)
David Brinkley (June 11, 2003)
Dustin Hoffman
Bob Hope (July 27, 2003)
Rod Stewart
Mother Theresa (Sep. 5, 1997)
1993
Rose Kennedy (Jan. 22, 1995)
Jacques-Yves Cousteau (Jun. 25, 1997)
Marlon Brando (Jul. 1, 2004)
Bill Wyman
1994
James Stewart (Jul. 2, 1997)
Carol Channing
Sean Connery
Morley Safer
Strom Thurmond (June 26, 2003)
1995
Paul Tsongas (Jan. 18, 1997)
Andy Griffith
Charleton Heston
Gavin McLeod
John Paul II (Apr. 2, 2005)
1996
Lauren Bacall
Fidel Castro
Julia Child (Aug. 13, 2004)
Ricardo Montalban
Frank Perdue (Mar. 31, 2005)
1997
Shirley Temple Black
Jimmy Carter
Carroll O'Connor (Jun. 21, 2001)
Claudia Taylor (Lady Bird) Johnson
Charles M. Schultz (Feb. 12, 2000)
Kurt Vonnegut
1998
Phil Esposito
Bob Keeshan (Jan. 23, 2004)
Joe Namath
Luciano Pavarotti
John Schneider
Shari Lewis (Aug. 2, 1998)2
1999
Richard Dreyfus
Jamie Farr
Harvey Korman
Ted Lange
Marsha Mason
2000
Billy Carter (Sep. 25, 1988)3
Sherman Hemsley
Charlene Tilton
William Perry
Don Knotts
2001
Johnny Cash (Sep. 12, 2003)
Mike Douglas
Milton Friedman
Shirley MacLaine (again)
Imelda Marcos
Peter O'Toole
John Popper
 
average age4: 67 1/2
2002
Dave Brubeck
Lou Rawls (Jan. 6, 2006)
Donald Sutherland
Anson Williams
 
 
 
 
average age4:66 3/4
2003
Nipsey Russell (Oct. 2, 2005)
Boutros Boutros-Ghali
Carl Yazstremski
Tony Orlando
 
 
 
average age4: 70
2004
Parker Stevenson
John Major
Dolph Lundgren
Manute Bol
Warren Buffett
Daryl Dragon
 
average age4: 55y 9m
2005
Michael Palin
Louis Gossett, Jr.
Ed Koch
Don Ho
Martha Quinn
 
 
average age4: 54y 1m
Dick Clark is an honorary lifetime member.
1 Isaac Asimov is the only nominee to die in the predicted year.

2 Shari Lewis died in the predicted year,
but she was part of "Cindy's 1998 Addendum." It's a long story, so just accept it.

3 Well, it turns out Billy Carter died back in 1988, but we didn't quite learn about it until December 2001.
Clearly, we shouldn't have nominated him so late.

4 "Average age" on January 1 of the nomination year.

The List (alphabetical order)

Died THIS YEAR

Died, other years

Still Alive (and year Listed)

 

What is the Dick Clark List?

Q: What do Michael Palin, Louis Gossett, Jr., Ed Koch, Don Ho, and Martha Quinn all have in common?

A: They were all predicted to die in 2005.

Every New Year's Eve until 2005, a select ghoulish coven compiled a list of about five famous (or once-famous) people whom we predicted would die in the upcoming year.

With the 2005 List, the Dick Clark List was closed.

Rules

It's not a wish list.

And it was not necessarily people we didn't like. This was an actual prediction, à la Jeane Dixon (R.I.P. 1997).

Only celebrities, however obsure, were eligible.

Ineligible:

The BEST predictions were young-ish and healthy (well, mostly healthy) people...

...like Phil Hartman, River Pheonix and John Ritter. Naturally, plenty of old and sick folk were welcome on the list, but we were looking for some real juicy ones like Michael Hutchence and John Denver.

For More Information

Dead People Server (A site that answers all those questions about whether a celebrity is dead)
Obituaries
Cemetaries
Other Resources

 

(c) 1997-2006 by Mark B. Adler