New NASA Launch Vehicles
But a year-long study initiated
prior to the change in NASA Administrators and completed this spring gave an
extensive review to both uses of a launch vehicle derived from the Space
Shuttle's Solid Rocket Booster (SRB) as well as a larger booster design using
twin SRB motors flanking a derivative of the shuttle's External Tank (ET), mated
with a large liquid upper stage.
From
SpaceRef.com:
NASA's New CEV
Launcher to Maximize Use of Space Shuttle Components
The decision on what new launch vehicles NASA
plans to use in the coming decades is rapidly coming into focus. In some ways
these launchers will be new - yet they will also look very familiar using
hardware and concepts that have long and well-established flight
histories.
Analysts have reviewed a wide variety of
launch vehicle options for both manned and cargo-only versions of the NASA Crew
Exploration Vehicle (CEV) and have settled for an all-solid booster
configuration, according to sources close to NASA's Exploration Systems
Architecture Study (aka the "60 Day Study")
But a year-long study initiated prior to the
change in NASA Administrators and completed this spring gave an extensive review
to both uses of a launch vehicle derived from the Space Shuttle's Solid Rocket
Booster (SRB) as well as a larger booster design using twin SRB motors flanking
a derivative of the shuttle's External Tank (ET), mated with a large liquid
upper stage. Studies also looked at growth options from the nation's Evolved
Expendable Launch Vehicles (EELV) community.
Internal NASA documents detailing the review,
which was completed in late June, were obtained by the authors. A second,
related study has reviewed heavy lift options using the same shuttle-derived
elements.
Analysis of
Alternatives
Throughout most of 2004 and into the spring of
2005, the Exploration Systems Mission Directorate (ESMD) conducted a detailed
series of trade analyses of launch vehicle options for both manned CEV
spacecraft and cargo requirements. Booster lift capabilities studied ranged from
as small as seven metric tons to in excess of 70 metric tons. (1 metric ton =
1,000 kg or 2,200 pounds). Very large heavy lift launch vehicle designs were
also reviewed as part of a series of trade studies led by Johnson Space Center
in Houston. These vehicles would be capable of in excess of 100 metric tons of
lift to low orbit. The two series of reviews were separate but complimented each
other in their wide-ranging assessments of launching options.
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enlarge
In
addition, an assessment of heavy lift designs derived from today's current Atlas
V and Delta IV EELV was conducted. An integrated launch systems study was also
conducted by ESMD. ESMD looked at 12 crew launch vehicle (CEV) options, 35 cargo
launch designs, and three classes of new upper stage configurations. This
evaluation looked at common elements shared between the upper stages of the CEV
manned boosters and those upper stages that might be used in cargo lifters. A
desired element was synergy between the CEV manned booster and its heavy lift
family. NASA also evaluated the changes in or construction of new ground
installations that would be needed to support the CEV launcher
choices.
Families of Launch
Vehicles-CEV/ET-derived Options
Fairly early in the analysis, planners
determined that a new hybrid booster had no particular benefit over a launcher
developed from either EELV or shuttle-derived designs. They also determined that
cost effectiveness could be achieved if the launch vehicles chosen for CEV
systems could yield a higher flight rate by multiple government users, such as
the national security community.
Shuttle-derived launch designs were evaluated
for both crew and cargo carriers. Designs for the Earth Departure Stage (EDS),
which, under the lunar exploration scenario initially proposed by Project
Constellation, would inject the docked CEV and lunar lander into lunar orbit,
were evaluated from possible common use of engines and tankage used in the
shuttle-derived launchers. This emphasis on shared component commonality was a
continuous theme in the launch vehicle trades throughout the year.
For manned CEV flights, the series of in-line
booster configurations included four and five segment SRBs derived from the
existing space shuttle configuration; a series of shuttle External Tank-derived
"in-line" launchers, and a pair of large heavy lift shuttle-derived manned
in-line vehicles.
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enlarge
Multiple
architectures were studied against possible multiple mission launcher options.
Planners defined "affordability" as being characterized by reduced non-recurring
costs, reduced recurring costs, or cost phasing-in. Risk assessments included
evaluating risk from technology development, launch processing risks, and
schedule risk. Moreover, any heavy lift choice must be scalable for manned and
cargo deep space (Mars) use, possible national security payloads of the future,
or possible adaptation for commercial variants during the lifetime of the
vehicle's operation.According to
planners involved in the 60 Day Study, a crew safety goal of one launch failure
in 1,000 was the objective for the launch vehicle selected. This requirement is
ten times greater than the 1/100 risk posed by the existing post-Columbia space
shuttle orbiter fleet. Planners also observed that the larger number of in-space
events needed to accomplish CEV missions, such as earth orbit rendezvous and
docking of multiple vehicle components, the greater the risk to the astronaut
crews.Lastly, planners were directed
that whatever series of launchers selected must comply with the January 2005 U.S.
Space Transportation Policy. Johnson Space Center continued to study
manned and cargo vehicle designs until late June of 2005. The ESMD analysis of
alternatives I and II were folded into the exploration architecture study
ordered by the new NASA Administrator Mike Griffin.
Shuttle-Derived Crew
Transport
According to sources familiar with the
launcher section of the so-called 60 Day Study, the future U.S. manned and heavy
lift launch vehicle architecture will be based on two configurations of
shuttle-derived vehicles. Both vehicles will launch from Kennedy Space Center.
Existing launch pads and associated facilities will undergo extensive
modifications and upgrading to accommodate the new designs, according to a
semi-final version of the
study.
Cargo vehicle studies using Space Shuttle ET
and SRB hardware focused on two major variants: so-called "side-mounted" and
"in-line". Side-mount designs hang cargo and/or crew off the side of a large
external fuel tank as is currently done with the space shuttle. In-line designs
place the cargo (or crew) directly atop a lower first stage as did Saturn launch
vehicles.
Budget pressures have intensified due to the
grounding of the shuttle fleet after last week's foam and debris shedding. This
grounding and a possible hiatus before flights resume could lead to increased
pressure to develop a side-mounted shuttle-derived heavy lifter similar in
overall concept to the Shuttle-C launch vehicle proposed in the
1990s.
This side-mounted launcher would allow many
existing shuttle facilities to be used either unmodified or with slight
modification since the shuttle orbiter would be replaced with a cargo carrier
and use the same 'footprint' as does the current space shuttle. The costs
required to transition to such a new system would be less, and current cargoes
(ISS components) could be integrated in a fashion nearly identical with how they
are launched in shuttle orbiter cargo bays. The larger, more capable in-line
shuttle-derived systems that have been studied would require substantial
modifications to launch pads and ground support infrastructure.
This option may become a more attractive
option for another reason. As reported several weeks ago
(See: NASA Studying
Unmanned Solution to Complete Space Station as Return to Flight Costs
Grow ) , the White House has
been directing NASA to limit shuttle flights wherever possible. This will
inevitably result in a truncation and decrease in capability of the ISS. Concern
is mounting among the other participating nations in the ISS program about what
sort of space station they will get after all these years of
waiting.
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enlarge
One thing Mike Griffin has been considering is
halting the ISS assembly sequence (using shuttle orbiters) at one point, and
then resuming it some years later by using a shuttle-derived launch system to
ferry up the remaining components. Using a side-mounted configuration offers the
least amount of new development of any option. This also places the development
of this new launcher in the critical path of ISS assembly. In the 1990's Russian
hardware development was in the critical path for space station construction -
and problems with that hardware (fiscal) caused considerable delays in building
the station.
According to documents obtained by the
authors, the original ESMD Mars mission plan, then called Spiral 4, would have
involved a human fly-by of Mars around 2032. Spiral 5 was would have followed
with human landings on Mars beginning in 2034. Planning documents also suggested
that the original Project Prometheus nuclear electric propulsion system, needed
for human and cargo flights to Mars, would be launched to Earth orbit by the
in-line shuttle-derived launch vehicle variant.
Since the arrival of Mike Griffin and the
departure of Craig Steidle, all detailed human Mars mission planning has been
de-emphasized. According to NASA sources, this is due, in great part, to looming
budget constraints facing the Griffin administration. Sources suggested that the
main elements of the architecture review now focus on ISS assembly, CEV design
and development, and human lunar exploration. Planners hope to 'scar' the
architecture that will be set in place following the study so as to evolve to
support future human Mars missions. This scaring includes what has been
described as a 'design evolution path' towards a Mars CEV - one that evolves
from the lunar CEV.
As of this writing, sources familiar with the
various study options suggest that the earth orbital CEV, one designed to
provide ISS crew transport, may not have full 'traceability' to the lunar
variant. This situation might come into play if the earth orbital CEV is
developed by another contracting process - an entrepreneurial approach which was
been hinted at by Griffin and his staff. Sources suggest that while a CEV would
be developed from a NASA RFP with a winning prime contractor - either a team led
by Lockheed Martin or Northrop Grumman, such a CEV would be mandated for earth
orbit capability - but not as an operational necessity. In other words, the
RFP-derived CEV would be able to make piloted and automated flights into a low
earth orbit, but its prime requirement would be human lunar orbital
missions.
Such an entrepreneurial-derived CEV would have
as its focus piloted and robotic cargo capability to the ISS and to make
rendezvous with a Project Constellation fleet being assembled in an L-1 high
earth orbit as well. Such details remained to be finalized as this article went
to press in early August.
A Safer Escape
Two major requirements drove the CEV booster
choice. First, NASA analysts placed a requirement on the CEV launch vehicle that
mandated a full launch escape envelope for the crew. Appearing on NBC's "Meet
The Press" on 31 July 2005, Mike Griffin made it clear that he did not ever want
to see another U.S. human launch system where things (foam and debris) could
"fall back on the crew".
To simplify escape options, planners have
focused on a solid fuel tractor rocket mounted on a tower on top of the CEV.
This design was heavily influenced by the Apollo Command Module Launch Escape
System (LES) used from 1964 to 1975 on manned and unmanned Apollo Saturn
boosters. The escape system would be jettisoned during a normal CEV ascent.
Secondly, the overall launch vehicle design was to be substantially safer and
simpler to maintain than the existing space shuttle orbiter, which ascends to
orbit using a trio of liquid fueled engines firing on the orbiter along with the
solid
motors.
Safety issues associated with manned shuttle
launch primarily revolve around both limited (or nonexistent) crew escape
options and more limited engine-out architectures. Planners were made aware that
the shuttle's limited crew escape options were based on a mature operational
safety level - one planned for, but one that was not ultimately achieved.
Original shuttle crew escape was predicated on what was then termed "intact
abort" meaning for the crew to survive a launch failure the entire orbiter had
to return, intact, to a hard-surface runway. Orbiter ditching in the water was
always considered problematical from a crew survival
standpoint.
Following the 1986 Challenger accident, a
capability for crew bailout from the orbiter in controlled gliding flight was
added. However, few launch or landing malfunctions were considered likely that
would leave a crippled orbiter under such full control. Many in the human
spaceflight community felt that the bailout option was more of a palliative than
an effective means of crew escape. Grafting a crew escape module on the existing
orbiter airframe was considered too expensive, time consuming, and
impractical.
Planners designing the CEV launch system hoped
to avoid most of the shuttle's safety issues by a simplified vehicle
architecture that uses many of the same shuttle booster components but uses them
in a different more robust launcher architecture. For the CEV crew to escape a
launch abort, only the part of the CEV containing the flight crew would be
explosively detached from the remainder of the CEV/launcher. This approximates,
by comparison, the Apollo launch escape philosophy wherein the Command Module
was separated from the remaining Service Module part of the Apollo
spacecraft.
Current designs call for a large conical or
biconic space capsule as a design reference for the CEV. Planners used a maximum
18-ft diameter width of the base of the CEV reentry vehicle as a size option.
Planners have looked at a two-tier CEV general arrangement, sources told the
authors, with crew accommodations for three, four and ultimately six astronauts.
The bottom tier of the CEV capsule contained work stations, a galley, and crew
waste disposal systems as well as lockers similar to those on the shuttle
orbiter mid-deck.
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enlarge
The
upper tier contained the crew couches and flight navigation and control
displays. Gross liftoff weight of CEV designs studies this spring ranged from 20
to 30 metric tons, which included the CEV return capsule, a small supply unit at
its base, and a propulsion system capable of performing a deep space abort if
the Earth Departure Stage malfunctions. The CEV propulsion system also is the
primary means astronauts would use to leave lunar orbit for the trans-earth
return.Storable fuels were the prime
candidates for the CEV propulsion system. The configuration used differed in
size for the different CEV missions. None of the CEV candidates under early
evaluation by ESMD or JSC, reviews totally independent from the contractor RFP
process, were capable of human interplanetary flight to the asteroid belt or
Mars. Instead, human lunar missions were the focus of these CEV
capabilities.
CEV Launch Options
One launch vehicle that was evaluated for
lifting the CEV into Earth orbit was based on a modified Space Shuttle ET.
Profiles were evaluated using one of two sets of engines on the tank; the Space
Shuttle Main Engine (SSME) and the Rocketdyne RS-68 developed for the Delta IV
EELV launcher. The study looked at two structural versions of the
shuttle-derived ET. In both cases, use of any ET for a manned CEV requires
extensive modifications of the current design. One approach that was evaluated
would use a basic ET but with the liquid oxygen tank modified into a cylindrical
shape with a new forward skirt added and a payload adapter. Under this design,
planners proposed only partially filling the ET prior to flight to reduce the
number of main engines used to two
SSMEs.
A second ET design looked at by planners was
referred to as a "Short Tank" ET. This variant was modified by removal of two
20-ft sections of the liquid hydrogen tank, SRB thrust ring attachments, and
other related systems. This review looked at mounting RS-68 engines to the
tank's base.
For upper stages, two options were reviewed.
One used a single SSME modified for air-start, the second studied use of a
single J2S engine derived from the Apollo Saturn IB and V heritage launcher
upper stages (Saturn IB second and Saturn V second and third stages). The SSMEs
were assumed to operate at 104% thrust levels. The launch site was Kennedy Space
Center; performance evaluation was assuming a 1976 atmosphere model with no
winds at liftoff. Eight different configuration designs were looked at, which
determined that the J2S yielded the smallest payload performance; which was
68,000 pounds. The RS-68 produced the largest; in excess of 70,000 pounds (this
includes the weight of the stage plus the CEV stack).
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enlarge
SRB-derived
BoosterTwo series of boosters were
evaluated derived from the Space Shuttle SRBs. Assumptions made included full
recovery of the booster, use of a new retrorocket system, and a new liquid upper
stage that would be large enough to inject the CEV into orbit and be restarted
multiple times for approach to a lunar fleet, or to approach and depart from the
ISS. Both four and five segment motors were
studied.Three upper stage candidates
were evaluated. One using the SSME, one using the J2S, and one using the Russian
AJ26-60 version of the N-1 launch vehicle's NK-43 upper stage engine. All
variants of an SRB booster could lift a 20 metric ton CEV package. But a
five-segment motor would be required to launch a larger 30 metric ton. CEV
design. Increasing the reference thrust of the SSME to 109% was also studied for
the SRB CEV launcher's upper stage. Both SRB designs require extensive launch
pad and launch logistics modifications at Kennedy Space Center. For planning,
stacking of the motors inside the VAB was assumed, which would require
construction of new work platforms there. At the pad, a new mobile launch
platform that would be shared with the shuttle-derived heavy lifter was also
assumed.
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enlarge
Among
the shortcomings of any SRB-derived launcher was lack of engine out capability.
For all of the shuttle-derived manned launcher designs, SSME modifications were
needed, the J2S would require technology improvements for updating, and the
Russian engines would require new arrangements. One planner said that a 2-engine
J2S would improve performance although it would add weight.
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enlarge
Side-Mount
ET to the MoonIn the end, the two
ET-derivatives; a side-mount vs. a stacked in-line produced better safety
margins for the CEV aboard the in-line mold line. A side-mount ET manned
launcher required development of the exploration carrier to produce a 6.5 x 25m
payload envelope beneath the CEV. The cargo version replaced the CEV with a nose
fairing. For manned flight, use of a derivative of the space shuttle orbiter OMS
pods was studied, as was an entirely new on-orbit propulsion system using
different propellants.A lunar side
mount manned launcher would use the five-segment motor, new OMS pods, and a
liquid hydrogen upper stage. Both a side-mount and in-line ET manned CEV
launcher could accommodate 20 and 30 metric ton CEV designs. A side-mount design
had the lowest infrastructure change requirement for launch logistics. An
in-line required the most modifications. An SRB motor derivative fell in the
middle of these change-out costs. As time progressed, its long flight history
seemed to outweigh its lack of engine-out ascent options, and its simplicity of
use appeared to sway planners to its selection. For the ET derivatives, a heavy
lift cargo-only design seemed the most promising, side-mount or
in-line.
Posted: Wed - August 3, 2005 at 10:35 PM