Decision Tools

Notes on software and processes for collecting, analyzing and acting on data

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Working Notes: Current Working Notes These notes are the contents of a whiteboard in Tinderbox that I'm using to map out my (more . . .)

Tools: I write a lot about the tools that I use. I even named my TInderbox based website "Decision Tools". (more . . .)

Are Materialism and Fundamentalism the Same?: So much of philosophy is simply a rational attempt at understanding our religious urge. From the Greeks through the Enlightenment (more . . .)

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Working Notes : Anecdotal evidence

Studies of decision making have shown that people are strongly influenced by single, uncommon events. Even when the pattern of frequent events indicates one type of behavior, the uncommon event prevails. This is especially true of bad outcomes, like plane crashes, but is also true of good outcomes, like gambling wins.

I've been interested recently in which the only option is using sparsely occurring events to make decisions.