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Global warming denier in full cry.......


The following article was posted on the medialens site by the editors. It is copied from an article in the Daily Mail, London, UK January 13, 2006

Ask the medialens editors - does this prove that global warming's all hot air? .

MELANIE PHILLIPS

As scientists partly blame trees for climate change . . .

TRULY, you'd have to have a heart of stone not to laugh. For almost 20 years, we've been whipped into a panic that the world of vegetation on which the planet depends is being threatened with wipe-out by the wicked, profligate, energy-burning habits of irresponsible mankind.

We are imperilling the biosphere, we are told, by chopping down the tropical rainforests.

The whole planet is about to fry because of global warming caused by manmade carbon dioxide emissions, one of the antidotes to which is the beneficient oxygenation of the Earth by the tree world which soaks up carbon dioxide.

The driving message of the eco-doomsters has been 'green plants good, man bad'. This has become a received wisdom that simply cannot be questioned. It is taught in our schools as fact. It has spurred each of our political parties to turn a deeper shade of green than the others.

Anyone foolhardy enough to challenge this orthodoxy is mercilessly mocked or vilified as stupid, insane or in the pay of the evil oil lobby.

Yet lo and behold, what do we now read? That the forests are actually partly responsible for global warming. Rather than 'save the trees', it seems, it's 'blame the trees'!

According to a new study, living green plants may be contributing as much as one third of the methane in the Earth's atmosphere - and methane is second only to carbon dioxide in the rogues' gallery of greenhouse gases said to be responsible for global warming.

Until now, methane was thought to be produced mainly by decomposing organic matter.

But this study has now found that the methane emitted in normal, oxygen-rich surroundings - in other words, by green plants - is between ten and 1,000 times the amount produced by dead material.

This has apparently come as a terrible shock to our poor scientists.

Somehow, they all managed to overlook entirely this crucial factor in the makeup of the atmosphere.

Somehow, these experts who constantly preach about plants and greenhouse gases were all entirely ignorant of what greenhouse gases are actually produced by plants.

This new study, we are further told, clears up one or two unexplained features about the environment - such as the fact that the rise in methane in the atmosphere has been slowing down for the past ten years.

The study argues that 'tropical deforestation may be a factor there'. So, far from destroying the planet, cutting down the rain forests may actually be a way of preventing global warming!

Faced with this remarkable turn of events, Dr Richard Betts, of the climate change monitoring organisation, the Hadley Centre, could merely say that it 'adds an important new piece of understanding of how plants interact with the climate'.

Dr Betts is clearly a master of understatement, if not of greenhouse gases.

The 'important new understanding' is actually that the old understanding is completely wrong, and that climate-change scientists have been talking through their collective green hat.

One might ask how all these experts could all have overlooked this evidence.

According to the leader of the new study, Dr Frank Keppler, all the relevant textbooks agree that methane can be produced only in the absence of oxygen.

'For that simple reason', he said.

Nobody looked closely at this.' Oh dear. No doubt Galileo had the same problem when all medieval parchments agreed that the Sun went round the Earth; or Christopher Columbus, when all navigational maps agreed that the Earth was flat.

If scientists can't even get the mundane activities of the plant world right, we are entitled to wonder what else they have got wrong in their prediction of environmental catastrophe for the entire planet.

The truth is that, for all the furore about global warming, the scientists who proclaim it as a demonstrable fact really haven't got much of a clue.

Their ostensible scientific authority melts under scrutiny faster than Arctic ice. There is no proof that global warming on an alarming scale is actually happening; and even if it is, there is no proof that manmade emissions are the villain of the drama.

People say 'something funny is happening to the weather'.

Maybe; but the rate of warming over the past century is nothing out of the historical ordinary. It was, after all, some two degrees warmer in the 11th century, when vines grew in Northumberland.

People say 'the ice sheets are melting'. Well, some are; but others are growing. People say 'the seas are rising'. Well, some are, but others are falling; and where they are rising, the cause often lies in the movement of land rather than any effects of climate change.

There are many more such claims made by the green lobby which just don't stack up. The evidence of imminent apocalypse provided by such phenomena is, to put it mildly, inconclusive.

AND if the climate is indeed overheating, that does not mean that manmade emissions are necessarily to blame. Indeed, it is extremely unlikely that they would be since carbon dioxide forms a relatively small proportion of the atmosphere, most of which consists of water vapour.

Furthermore, some of the principal studies upon which global warming theory is based have been shown to be fatally flawed. The key evidence at the core of the conclusion by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change that global warming was happening and human activities were responsible was the 'hockey-stick' curve, which purportedly showed a 700-year period when temperatures remained relatively constant followed by the last 100-plus years when temperatures shot upwards.

But no fewer than five separate studies have concluded that this study was nonsense because it managed to miss out altogether the 850 years of both the 'Medieval Warm Period' and the 'Little Ice Age'. Climate change scientists clearly make a habit of overlooking the evidence which happens to blow a hole in their entire theory. The global warming industry has been created and sustained by three sources of gross scientific fallacy.

The first is the use of computer modelling. The Earth's climate is influenced by a vastly complex series of factors which interact with each other in literally millions of ways.

Computer models, which have created global warming theory, simply cannot deal with all these factors. If oversimplified material is fed into the computers, oversimplified conclusions come out at the other end.

The second factor is the ideological agenda at the heart of the green movement which is anti-capitalism, anti-big business and anti-America. And the third is the sheer weight of conformity, in which the surest way to obtain research funding is to produce yet another study confirming global warming theory - and the surest way to academic ostracism is to deny it.

What this new and comical discovery of plant-produced methane tells us, however, is that we actually know next to nothing about how climate change works.

It also tells us something about the cynicism and gullibility fuelling the green agenda, and the dismaying extent to which reason, evidence and objectivity have been squashed under the stampede of ideology, irrationality and pseudoscientific sloppiness.

Politicians throughout the developed world are being pressured to put a brake on progress to slow down manmade global warming. Human welfare is thus being compromised by one of the greatest scientific scams of the modern age.

Go hug a tree and find out.

m.phillips@dailymail.co.uk



CauldronThis is the sort of tirade that make the millions of people who are concerned about global warming quietly want to take out a cauldron, and slowly simmer global warming deniers to demonstrate to them in a personal and humane way just what global warming has in store for them. Frank Haden said much the same sort of thing as Melanie here in New Zealand, see my earlier posting. (Here) One of the contributers to the medialens site pointed to this reply by George Monbiot (George Monbiot (born January 27, 1963) is a journalist, author, academic and environmental and political activist in the United Kingdom who writes a weekly column for The Guardian newspaper.) . You can read it here. There is no doubt that George Monbiot is an extremely gifted writer, VIP (Very Intelligent Person) and a great friend to environmentalists and global warming science, but I think he does go off in a tangent about carbon trading. However he also demolishes Melanie Phillips to a state not far off that of an Iraqi hospital.


Here is my take on the article, and what I wrote on the medialens site (with an insignificant amendment):

I live in New Zealand, and I've never heard of, nor read anything by Melanie Phillips. And this is the problem with the internet, I could have lived my life out, and never known! But we have the equivalents here in New Zealand, a columnist by the name of Frank Haden comes to mind.

Obviously she is not a scientist, in fact I suspect she has lived her whole life avoiding science. Only someone supremely ignorant of what science is could have written such an supremely ignorant article. And yet this same woman, no doubt, makes use every day of all the scientific advances of the last few hundred years to make her life more comfortable, rich and rewarding. But someone so ignorant can't appreciate this. Knowing nothing of science, or the history of science, she doesn't understand that every advance comes with its own uncertainties. It is only standing as we do, in the present time, that we see the certainties of the past, and the uncertainties of the future, but at one time, all our past was filled with exactly the same uncertainties as we have now, contemplating our future.

It is this fundamental uncertainty that people like Melanie can't seem to comprehend. It makes them uncomfortable, frightened even, and they are intellectually unable to cope with it. Just as rabbits freeze in the glare of car headlights, and are uncomprehending of the the fate speeding to destroy them, so do these people's intellects freeze in the glare of scientific enquiry, and are equally uncomprehending of our fast approaching environmental catastrophe. What you read in Melanie Phillips's farrago of nonsense in her article are the words of an angry women, the snarling, scathing and sarcastic tones of someone fighting their corner who knows they don't have the weapons to do so in any other way, instead of using, for instance, reason or logic.

So when a preliminary finding of great interest, but unconfirmed and of debatable importance in the climate warming debate, it is seized on gleefully as the weapon to batter her opponents with, not realising that she has seized a peashooter to try and scatter an army. This is the usual fashion of all global warming deniers. George Mobiot said this, in writing about David Bellamy's climate denials, "It is hard to convey just how selective you have to be to dismiss the evidence for climate change. You must climb over a mountain of evidence to pick up a crumb: a crumb which then disintegrates in the palm of your hand. You must ignore an entire canon of science, the statements of the world's most eminent scientific institutions, and thousands of papers published in the foremost scientific journals".

But the problem remains, of course, that this ignorant woman seems to have the backing of her equally ignorant editor, and I only have this small comment on a website where most of the readers will probably agree with me. I hope a few of you have sent suitable letters to the Daily Mail, but in this matter, and in many others, it is we that have the peashooters, and the media that have the heavy artillery.



Boeing P-26A Peashooter

This is a Peashooter. When I made that comparison in my posting, I hadn't realised that a Peashooter
was quite such a formidable weapon, perhaps I should have said "slingshot", but I'll probaly find out that was
the name of some sort of ordnance in WWll.







..........and in complete contrast.



And as a sublime contrast to Melanie Phillips's ignorant cynicism, I am copying here an article that appeared in "The Independent" recently. James Lovelock will need no introduction to any environmentalist, his book "Gaia, New Look at Life on Earth" would have revolutionised the thinking of most environmentalists when it was first published in 1979. Along with his colleague, Lynn Margulis, who hasn't received anything like the same amount of Kudos as Lovelock, he described the processes by which the Earth sustains life on Earth. His Gaia hypothesis, that the Earth can be considered as a functioning living organism, was as groundbreaking as Darwin's evolutionary theories. Whilst at first many scientist were sceptical of this claim, it appearing more to be a spiritual hypothesis than what most scientists considered a scientific one, nevertheless, James Lovelock's theories and the totality of his view have become increasingly mainstream over the succeeding years since the theory was first enunciated.

James Lovelock is now 89 years old, but obviously his intellect is little diminished. I have heard nothing on our radio or TV about this forthcoming book, or his dire predictions, nor have I read anything in any local paper. Despite this article having appeared in a well known UK paper, the silence from the rest of the media both here and abroad has been deafening. This is the article, which is by way of an introduction to his forthcoming book, The Revenge of Gaia. And I would ask any reader to decide for themselves as to whether the Melanie Phillips or James Lovelock version of the global waming story is likely to be the most accurate: A scientifically illiterate and ecologically challenged columnist for a daily newspaper, or a renowned environmentalist, earth scientist and philosopher, who probably every time he goes to the toilet and has a bowel movement, excretes more environmental knowledge than Melanie has learnt in her entire lifetime?


James Lovelock: The Earth is about to catch a morbid fever that may last as long as 100,000 years

Each nation must find the best use of its resources to sustain civilisation for as long as they can

Published: 16 January 2006

Imagine a young policewoman delighted in the fulfilment of her vocation; then imagine her having to tell a family whose child had strayed that he had been found dead, murdered in a nearby wood. Or think of a young physician newly appointed who has to tell you that the biopsy revealed invasion by an aggressive metastasising tumour. Doctors and the police know that many accept the simple awful truth with dignity but others try in vain to deny it.

Whatever the response, the bringers of such bad news rarely become hardened to their task and some dread it. We have relieved judges of the awesome responsibility of passing the death sentence, but at least they had some comfort from its frequent moral justification. Physicians and the police have no escape from their duty.

This article is the most difficult I have written and for the same reasons. My Gaia theory sees the Earth behaving as if it were alive, and clearly anything alive can enjoy good health, or suffer disease. Gaia has made me a planetary physician and I take my profession seriously, and now I, too, have to bring bad news.

The climate centres around the world, which are the equivalent of the pathology lab of a hospital, have reported the Earth's physical condition, and the climate specialists see it as seriously ill, and soon to pass into a morbid fever that may last as long as 100,000 years. I have to tell you, as members of the Earth's family and an intimate part of it, that you and especially civilisation are in grave danger. Our planet has kept itself healthy and fit for life, just like an animal does, for most of the more than three billion years of its existence. It was ill luck that we started polluting at a time when the sun is too hot for comfort. We have given Gaia a fever and soon her condition will worsen to a state like a coma. She has been there before and recovered, but it took more than 100,000 years. We are responsible and will suffer the consequences: as the century progresses, the temperature will rise 8 degrees centigrade in temperate regions and 5 degrees in the tropics.

Much of the tropical land mass will become scrub and desert, and will no longer serve for regulation; this adds to the 40 per cent of the Earth's surface we have depleted to feed ourselves. Curiously, aerosol pollution of the northern hemisphere reduces global warming by reflecting sunlight back to space. This "global dimming" is transient and could disappear in a few days like the smoke that it is, leaving us fully exposed to the heat of the global greenhouse. We are in a fool's climate, accidentally kept cool by smoke, and before this century is over billions of us will die and the few breeding pairs of people that survive will be in the Arctic where the climate remains tolerable.

By failing to see that the Earth regulates its climate and composition, we have blundered into trying to do it ourselves, acting as if we were in charge. By doing this, we condemn ourselves to the worst form of slavery. If we chose to be the stewards of the Earth, then we are responsible for keeping the atmosphere, the ocean and the land surface right for life. A task we would soon find impossible - and something before we treated Gaia so badly, she had freely done for us.

To understand how impossible it is, think about how you would regulate your own temperature or the composition of your blood. Those with failing kidneys know the never-ending daily difficulty of adjusting water, salt and protein intake. The technological fix of dialysis helps, but is no replacement for living healthy kidneys.

My new book The Revenge of Gaia expands these thoughts, but you still may ask why science took so long to recognise the true nature of the Earth. I think it is because Darwin's vision was so good and clear that it has taken until now to digest it. In his time, little was known about the chemistry of the atmosphere and oceans, and there would have been little reason for him to wonder if organisms changed their environment as well as adapting to it.

Had it been known then that life and the environment are closely coupled, Darwin would have seen that evolution involved not just the organisms, but the whole planetary surface. We might then have looked upon the Earth as if it were alive, and known that we cannot pollute the air or use the Earth's skin - its forest and ocean ecosystems - as a mere source of products to feed ourselves and furnish our homes. We would have felt instinctively that those ecosystems must be left untouched because they were part of the living Earth.

So what should we do? First, we have to keep in mind the awesome pace of change and realise how little time is left to act; and then each community and nation must find the best use of the resources they have to sustain civilisation for as long as they can. Civilisation is energy-intensive and we cannot turn it off without crashing, so we need the security of a powered descent. On these British Isles, we are used to thinking of all humanity and not just ourselves; environmental change is global, but we have to deal with the consequences here in the UK.

Unfortunately our nation is now so urbanised as to be like a large city and we have only a small acreage of agriculture and forestry. We are dependent on the trading world for sustenance; climate change will deny us regular supplies of food and fuel from overseas.

We could grow enough to feed ourselves on the diet of the Second World War, but the notion that there is land to spare to grow biofuels, or be the site of wind farms, is ludicrous. We will do our best to survive, but sadly I cannot see the United States or the emerging economies of China and India cutting back in time, and they are the main source of emissions. The worst will happen and survivors will have to adapt to a hell of a climate.

Perhaps the saddest thing is that Gaia will lose as much or more than we do. Not only will wildlife and whole ecosystems go extinct, but in human civilisation the planet has a precious resource. We are not merely a disease; we are, through our intelligence and communication, the nervous system of the planet. Through us, Gaia has seen herself from space, and begins to know her place in the universe. We should be the heart and mind of the Earth, not its malady. So let us be brave and cease thinking of human needs and rights alone, and see that we have harmed the living Earth and need to make our peace with Gaia. We must do it while we are still strong enough to negotiate, and not a broken rabble led by brutal war lords. Most of all, we should remember that we are a part of it, and it is indeed our home.

The writer is an independent environmental scientist and Fellow of the Royal Society. 'The Revenge of Gaia' is published by Penguin on 2 February



Cover of James Lovelock's Gaia.