National Intelligence Estimate on Iran -- No Nukes?
December 04, 2007 02:45 PM
Here is a link to the actual declassified NIE on Iran. Why the hell was this declassified? Why does the world have to know what our intelligence community thinks on this very important issue? How will this impact our negotiations with the Islamic nation? Why do I know this information only a week after the leader of the free world learns of it? Is this NIE being released for political reasons? If so, by whom and for what purpose?
This is what I take away from the report: To have a nuclear weapon, you need fissile material, you need the know how to assemble the fissile material into a bomb and you need a method to deliver the weapon to a target. We know that Iran is already in possession of missiles with a range sufficient to reach Israel and is working on missiles that can reach Europe. They also have a puppet terrorist organization in Hezbollah that could deliver a suitcase nuke anywhere fanaticism can carry it. So, they already have a means (however crude) of delivering a weapon. They also have a civil nuclear program working furiously to enrich uranium. So, there is no doubt that they are working towards obtaining fissile material. The question addressed by the NIE is the weapons program, and it claims that Iran previously had a covert program but stopped in 2003.
That requires emphasis. The NIE says that until 2003, Iran had a secret undisclosed program developing a nuclear weapon. Iran was hiding a nuclear weapon program, but for some reason they stopped pursuing this program a few years ago. Could it be that their weapons program reached the point that they actually need real fissile material before they could move the weapons program to the next step? Could it be that Iran suspended its weapons program until the disclosed enrichment program succeeds in producing enough fissile material to move its weapons program to the next level?
The nation is still a fanatical theocracy run by a madman that believe the apocalyptic 12th Imam will reappear during our life time. He still thinks Israel should be and will be wipe off the map. This NIE does not fill me with confidence concerning our intelligence agencies, nor does it fill me with confidence about Iran's intentions.
This is what I take away from the report: To have a nuclear weapon, you need fissile material, you need the know how to assemble the fissile material into a bomb and you need a method to deliver the weapon to a target. We know that Iran is already in possession of missiles with a range sufficient to reach Israel and is working on missiles that can reach Europe. They also have a puppet terrorist organization in Hezbollah that could deliver a suitcase nuke anywhere fanaticism can carry it. So, they already have a means (however crude) of delivering a weapon. They also have a civil nuclear program working furiously to enrich uranium. So, there is no doubt that they are working towards obtaining fissile material. The question addressed by the NIE is the weapons program, and it claims that Iran previously had a covert program but stopped in 2003.
That requires emphasis. The NIE says that until 2003, Iran had a secret undisclosed program developing a nuclear weapon. Iran was hiding a nuclear weapon program, but for some reason they stopped pursuing this program a few years ago. Could it be that their weapons program reached the point that they actually need real fissile material before they could move the weapons program to the next step? Could it be that Iran suspended its weapons program until the disclosed enrichment program succeeds in producing enough fissile material to move its weapons program to the next level?
The nation is still a fanatical theocracy run by a madman that believe the apocalyptic 12th Imam will reappear during our life time. He still thinks Israel should be and will be wipe off the map. This NIE does not fill me with confidence concerning our intelligence agencies, nor does it fill me with confidence about Iran's intentions.
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