Regarding the Post-Carbon Era



This diary on DailyKos is brilliant, just because it looks ahead and tries to consider the time in which the oil supply just simply STOPS completely - thus bringing down an economy that has refused, to this point, to consider any other options at all.

It doesn’t matter where in America you live; it doesn’t matter what your job is. Let’s imagine, for an instant, that tomorrow you wake up and the nation has entered a Post-Carbon Era.
t doesn’t matter why it happened, at this point – all you know is that it did happen. It may have been another terrorist attack with low-yield dirty nuclear bombs in key cities. It may have been long-range, high-payload strategic ICBMs from Russia after Putin finally popped off. It may have been that the Saudis and Iranians and everyone in the Gulf just got sick and tired of our imperialist meddling and cut off the flow of oil. It may be that China got tired of holding all our worthless IOUs and called them in at once, causing our entire economy to melt down.
Whatever the cause, the effect is the same: lots of General Unhappiness in the states.
Having said all that, what does the state of a PCE actually comprise? What events will come to pass before we can truly say, "Yes, okay, now we are living in the Post Carbon Era?"
Below are some rough guidelines, any of which taken alone would be cause for general societal alarm, but two or more of which will suffice to act as an operational definition of our theoretical Post Carbon Era:
• Interruption or breakdown of federal services (banks, police, fire, hospitals, jails, sewers, power generation)
• supply chain disruptions (food and consumer goods)
• prohibitively expensive energy price (oil, gasoline, natural gas, diesel, bunker fuel)
• economic difficulty (extreme currency deflation or collapse / skyrocketing unemployment)
• the erosion of the basic social order (i.e. nobody going to work, rioting and looting, etc)
Basically, to envision the PCE, one must only think of the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina, multiply that effect by 2 or 3, and broaden it to a national scale.

I think the person who wrote this is basically on the right track in some important ways - Katrina gave us a good vision of how unable our government will be to respond to what is rapidly coming our way... and which corporate America is trying real real hard to blind us to....

But I want to go in a slightly different direction here.... I want us to consider the short-term pain which leads to long-term good.

The US has always been resourceful when it comes to developing technology that solves problems - we, as a society, have always been able to do that- whether it has been tooling up for manufacturing (hmmm that sorta led to the current problems!), developing medical solutions to widespread issues (vaccination programs etc), building weapons to end wars.... we have always had the ingenuity to retool ourselves to deal with the current reality.

I'd like to propose that we be more proactive and begin the retool ourselves process right now, in earnest.

It seems to me that we ought to be investing heavily in research into solar, geothermal, hydro, and wind energy so that we can really fully harness these energy sources and maximize their potential. We know that nuclear power will give us tons of energy, but a high danger factor. I'd prefer that we avoid that, especially when it comes to our methods of transportation.

It seems time to face the reality that the personal automobile (despite my heavy dependence on my own) is an excess - and that we will need to maximize the availability of and usage of public transit - this may mean living with above-ground rail in places where we don't want it (in my backyard even!).... I'd love to take rail all the time to work, to shop, to the gym - I love my car, but I'd prefer to feel that I was being environmentally sound.

We need to not offer tax credits for movements to solar energy, but rather, penalties if you don't. Given the ease of heating home water, etc with solar, why aren't we all doing it? I really need to look into investing in solar panels on my roof..... this is ridiculous....

Do you see where I am going??? The change will come and we can fight it and cry and whine and fall into deadly chaos (much like post-Katrina New Orleans - and the Bush II regime has made it clear that they do not intend to develop a system to protect the people from that kind of chaos), or we can begin the long painful, expensive process, which will require significant sacrifice on all of our parts, of moving towards energy efficiency, clean energy sources, and sustainable economies that benefit the whole world, not just Exxon-Mobil....

By the way, read here how Exxon is now quite like cigarette manufacturers.

Posted: Sat - January 6, 2007 at 08:27 AM          
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