The Surge and 4th Generation War




A number of commentators who are versed in the theory and history of asymmetrical or 4th generation warfare have predicted that the American surge in Iraq will force the resistance to fade away and hide, or relocate elsewhere to fight where the US is not. The main group fighting the US are Sunnis and this group represents only 20% of the Iraqi people. They have bogged the US down in an unwinnable war. If the surge targets the Shia majority (40% of the population), which have not been fighting the US since they are waiting for the American to finish of the Sunnis and Baathists for them, this could ignite a much bigger war of resistance against the Americas which could see them humbled in a very embarrassing manner. Dilip Hiro discusses the manoeuvring of Sadr and Sistani. Robert Parry argues that the resistance would benefit from a longer war and that Bin Ladn may well have deliberately helped swing the election in Bush's favour in 2004 by appearing to support Kerry on the eve of the election. Bush's surge plan is therefore going to plan - their plan, not his. Chris Floyd on the possibility of US brigades being diverted to protect the southern supply routes from Sia attack and how the MP cafeteria blast in the Green Zone makes a mockery of the surge. Paul Rogers on the problems ahead.

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Posted: Wed - April 18, 2007 at 02:37 PM        

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