Tue - March 4, 2008
New Website Now Online!
The website was designed by Jennifer Drage and now
offers dynamic updating of news items etc. Some links still require a little
work, but the new site will help us to ensure that news of activities, events
and other issues relating to the conservation of reptiles and amphibians are
reported on a more regular basis.
For a
preview see image below:
I hope that you agree with me that the newly designed
site looks fantastic! A very big thank you to Jen from all at KRAG for both
designing these pages and making the necessary changes to our server.
Lee
Brady KRAG Chairman
Posted at 08:41 am
Tue - February 12, 2008
First 2008 Adder Record from Kent?
Kent has had a few spring like days recently. I
was up on the downs at Trosley in the middle of last week with Bill Whitaker and
Diasy Truckle and was getting positively hot in the bright sunshine, but despite
it being a good reptile site we found nothing. Anyhow, we did at least arrange
the refuges for this year’s monitoring. Daisy will be including reptiles
when she does her butterfly survey.
Daisy
(KCC) and Bill (KRAG) planning a refuge survey for the reptiles at Trosley
Country Park
But better luck today. I was on the downs behind
Otford with Richard Jones and on a south facing, and very sunny, slope there was
large male adder. This was basking on a grassland/woodland margin and made off
into the woods at speed; but not before I managed to get a photo. You will see
that it has the typical muddy appearance of an adder that has just emerged from
hibernation.
A
large male adder just out of hibernation with a typically muddy skin.
Adders also look a bit like this before they are about
to slough but such adders can be told apart as they have milky rather than clear
bright eyes. If the weather turns cold again then this adder would be expected
to recommence hibernation.
Rick
Hodges
Posted at 10:01 am
Fri - February 8, 2008
Proposal for Expansion of Lydd Airport
Lydd Airport is surrounded by some of the most
protected natural habitats in the UK. The runway is enclosed by a Site of
Special Scientist Interest (SSSI), a Special Area of Conservation (SAC),
designated to protect the flora and fauna on vegetated shingle, abuts one side
of the runway, and a Special Protection Area (SPA), which was established to
protect rare birds, is close by. No matter which group you speak to,
onithologists, entomologists, botanists etc, the unique habitat at Dungeness is
of special importance to them, no less so to KRAG, for the nationally important
population of Great Crested Newts which is cited as a reason for the SAC
designation.
The Airport's development will have an adverse
impact on the protected habitats at Dungeness, directly through the loss of land
and indirectly via air, noise and light pollution - particularly the former. The
protected vegetated shingle habitat at Dungeness, which is a globally rare
habitat, is very low in nutrients and therefore vulnerable to enrichment from
Nitrogen oxides from air pollution. The owners of the airport are seeking
planning permission for a runway extension based on 300,000 passengers per annum
and for a new terminal based on 500,000 passengers per annum. The airport's true
goal, which is openly expressed in the two planning applications, is to achieve
passenger numbers of 2 million passengers per annum by 2015. Should the plans be
approved new infrastructure will have to be built i.e. roads, car parks, housing
etc resulting in further losses and degradation to the
area.
The two councils responsible for the area (Lydd and
Romney town councils) held a referendum on this issue which was rejected 2 to 1
by 3,350 voters. The councils have delayed making their decision on the
applications and have requested further ecological information. I was gladdened
by this, but felt that it was such an important issue that there should be a way
for the wider community to express thier opinion on the matter, so I created a
petition on 10 Downing Street's website calling for the Prime minister to block
the proposal should the local councils accept it. In order for the petition to
receive a ministerial response it needs to attract over 200 signatures, to date
it has 169. The petition closes on 23rd May 2008 and can be found at:
http://petitions.pm.gov.uk/Lydd-Expansion/The
Lydd Airport Action Group also have a petition
at:http://petitionthem.com/default.asp?sect=detail&pet=3729Their
website has a lot of
information on the development plans and other ways to oppose the
development.Please take a couple of
minutes to sign both petitions.Tony
Witts
Posted at 12:40 pm
Sun - February 3, 2008
Yet More Fab Reporting from the BBC...
It appears that poor old great crested newts are
being blamed for holding up yet another bypass.
The BBC is reporting
that work started on the Earl Shilton bypass in September. Despite the fact that
the bypass has been planned for more than 20 years, the BBC report claims...
"But a colony of great crested newts has been found
and their protected status means it is illegal to disturb
them."
So, let's just review that again. The bypass
has been planned for 20 years. Great crested newts have just been found. The
great crested newts are now holding up construction works. Is that really true?!
According to the BBC, the Leicestershire
County Council's director of highways is reported as saying:
"It is very difficult to detect these species and
no matter how much you do to detect these creatures, it's not necessarily going
to be comprehensive.
"We are hopeful though that we can make up the time
and get back on track. There have been some real horror stories in other parts
of the country and our situation could have been much
worse."Difficult to detect! Really!
Something sounds fishy to me...I suggest
that if environmental issues had been adequately considered at some point during
those 20 years of planning, the presence of great crested newt would have been
determined earlier and there would have been no delay to the scheme - at least
not due to the presence of newts. Of
course, this story is being reported by the BBC - so who knows what the real
truth of the matter is. Digging a little
deeper into this story it appears that survey work was carried out before
planning permission was granted. According to the Leicester
Mercury:
"A routine wildlife survey was carried out
before planning permission was given for the bypass in 2006, but no newts were
found."Apparently a planning
consultant (presumably involved with the scheme) has suggested
that:
"Sometimes, it can be a case of transferring
animals and we have to employ a botanist in the surveys, which is
expensive."
Are we getting to
the truth of the matter here?! A 'routine' survey was carried out - by
botanists?! Perhaps if a more thorough survey had been undertaken by consultants
sufficiently experienced in great crested newt survey work, the likely presence
of the newts would not have been missed. The Leicester Mercury goes on to quote
a local county councillor as
stating:
"It is incredible that
a few newts could have that effect on a scheme such as
this."
What is incredible is
that local authorities and developers still do not give sufficient consideration
to the need for detailed survey work and continually fail to allocate the
necessary resources to ensure that detailed and thorough ecological assessments
are undertaken in advance of major development projects.
The newts were there all along. Don't
blame them.
Lee Brady
KRAG Chairman
Posted at 10:52 am
Tue - January 22, 2008
Great Crested Newt Mitigation Licence Applications
The new GCN licence application forms (including
the eagerly awaited Mitigation Method Statement spreadsheet) are all now
available for download
from the Natural England website.
There are several items of interest. As county
recorder for reptiles and amphibians, one item that I was particularly pleased
by was the following
statement:
"Undertaking to submit
formal record of population as it stands in the final scheme layout: Note to be
sent to Local Records Centre, County Recorder, national recording scheme (where
they exist) and to the relevant contact at the LPA. To be done before completion
of development, or within 1 year of grant of licence (whichever is sooner). To
include site name, OS grid ref and brief summary of survey and capture
data."
As a condition of their
licence, consultants are now *required* to comply with this statement and submit
records to the local recorder/records centre. This should help us to keep track
of work undertaken across the
county.
Joy!
Lee Brady
KRAG Chairman
Posted at 05:59 pm
About that New Software
The new software isn't really working out very
well.
Very buggy under leopard, so I have decided to go
back to my old software. Old and clunky, but at least it
works...
Lee Brady
KRAG Chairman
Posted at 09:12 am
Blog Updates
As you might have been able to tell over the past
few days, I am updating the software used to run the blog.
Unfortunately, things are not going quite as smooth
as I would like...! Several photos appear to have disappeared and font
formatting is off in a few places. I will be looking into these issues and
correcting problems as I find them.
Lee Brady
KRAG Chairman
Posted at 08:32 am
Fri - January 18, 2008
2007 Chairman's Report
First of all I would like to wish all of the KRAG
folks a very Happy 2008! I would also like to thank The Committee and all
of our members for the outstanding commitment that has helped to make 2007 yet
another successful year for KRAG.
Although personal circumstances meant that my own
contributions to the group were rather limited for the first half of the year,
over recent weeks I have taken on the task of updating the KRAG database so that
it can better serve the demanding needs of practical herpetofauna conservation
both today and in future years. And yes, working on the database is the reason
why I have not been posting entries on the blog recently!
The database now holds over 14,600 Kent records.
Although this seems like a very large number of observations, there is still a
tremendous amount of work still to do. Nearly 70% of the county remains
unrecorded. For example, of the thousands of great crested newt ponds that we
believe are likely to occur, we only have records from 382 of them.
The database has allowed us to identify key sites for both amphibians and
reptiles. Currently, seven such sites have been designated for reptiles, with a
further ten sites proposed.

Although no amphibian sites have yet been designated,
available data suggests that at least 16 sites should be given immediate
consideration. With additional survey work undertaken by KRAG members,
information on other important sites can be collected and further designations
will surely follow.
Our two flagship
projects – Adders in Decline and Great Crested Newt Monitoring - continue
to collect important information. The results of the Adders in Decline Project
have helped in the production of a new leaflet that highlights the conservation
status of the adder. During 2007, KRAG was also able to offer training to
volunteers involved with the National Amphibian and Reptile Recording Scheme
(NARRS).
Information on all of these
activities has been published in our excellent newsletter and much of it will
soon be available on KRAG’s newly redesigned web
site.
Here’s looking forward to a
year full of activities and many new
records!
Thank you all once
again,
Lee Brady
KRAG Chairman
Posted at 08:31 am
Tue - October 23, 2007
Translocating Reptiles Before Planning Permission?
Conversations with several folk who are engaged
with the Kent planning system have revealed a worrying trend - the translocation
of reptiles away from proposed development sites before planning permission has
been granted (or in some cases even applied for).
A recent news story from Sussex suggests that this
is not just a Kent problem. The Mid Sussex Times reports
that:"People living near ['the
Dip'] in Hawth Valley say its several acres of land and a deep pond are a vital
breeding area for protected
species.But planner Alan Edgar,
who speaks for the land owner and developer John Rigden, said the response from
local residents was 'a typical NIMBY reaction'.
"
So local people who are concerned about
the impacts of development on their local biodiversity are nothing more than
'NIMBYs' (Not in My Back
Yard) eh? Way to go with the public relations Mr.
Edgar!'My client has cleared
the site but he has done it in a very responsible and ecologically concerned
way. He has done nothing illegal.'
He said slow-worms and even
rats had been caught properly and moved.
Mr Edgar said he would be drawing up
plans for 16 houses – to include some affordable homes – and an
ecology park would be proposed at the bottom of the
site."If I understand the news item
correctly, the developer will be drawing up plans for 17 houses after the
slow-worms have already been removed from the development
site?According to guidelines published
by Natural England (download):"Reptiles
should not normally be removed from development sites before the planning
decision is made."Mr. Edgar is quite
right that the removal of widespread reptiles from a site before planning
permission has been granted is not illegal (providing the animals have been
released into an area where they will survive). However, if translocation has
been undertaken before planning permission has been granted, I would question
whether the work has been undertaken in a 'very responsible and ecologically
concerned way'. I guess if the
biodiversity interest of a site is removed, then there is one less thing for the
local planning officer to consider when deciding on whether planning permission
should be granted. Let's face it, the planning officer can't really refuse
permission due to biodiversity interest, if the biodiversity interest has
already been removed! I wonder how these
actions square with the Government issued PPS9
and whether IEEM advise
ecological consultants that they should not engage in such
practices?Lee
BradyKRAG
ChairmanEdit for typo.
Posted at 04:07 pm
Mon - October 22, 2007
ARG UK SE Regional Conference 2007
Come and celebrate the 20th birthdays of
both Sussex and Surrey Amphibian and Reptile Groups!
Don't miss out on the event of the year! This will
be a great day, at a prestigious venue, with something to interest every one
interested in amphibians and reptiles. Keynote speaker is Mark Amey, who,
amongst many other remarkable achievements, has been working on 'Life in Cold
Blood' with David
Attenborough - due to be broadcast in Spring 2008.
Just £12.00 including refreshments
and lunch (£5.00 unwaged).Download
a printable copy of the programme.Download
a flyer with booking information.
Rick
Anstis Secretary Surrey
ARG
Posted at 06:28 pm
Wall Lizards in Britain
For those of you interested in this
year's discovery of wall lizards at Folkestone, you may be interested
to visit a web site dedicated to recording other occurrences of these colourful
lizards.
The site is maintained by Steve Langham on behalf
of the Surrey Amphibian and Reptile Group. Regarding speculation as to whether
the lizard is native:"There
has been some discussion as to whether the Wall lizard is a species native to
the UK, as it is in the Channel Islands. Although it cannot be ruled out with
all certainty, there is no scientific evidence to support such a
claim.One argument that is
frequently cited is an analogy with the Pool frog, which was believed to be an
alien species, yet has recently been accepted as a native. This acceptance of
the native status of the Pool frog was based upon scientific assessment of
substantial evidence (including ancient records, museum specimens,
zooarchaeological remains & DNA analysis), rather than mere speculation, as
is the case with the Wall
lizard."There's lots of other useful
information available. Visit the site to read
more and perhaps to add your own observations. I must remember to add
details of a colony that used to be located near Canterbury. I wonder if Steve
would also be interested in putting something together on green
lizards?! Lee
BradyKRAG
Chairman
Posted at 10:33 am
Wed - October 17, 2007
Review of BBC Wildlife Article
A few weeks ago I was interviewed by Mr. James Fair
(a journalist working for BBC Wildlife) who was interested in publishing a story
on the Species Action Plan (SAP) targets that were announced for great crested
newt earlier this year. Following a lengthy interview Mr. Fair wrote a news
story entitled 'In the Eye of a Storm' that was published in the October 2007
edition of the magazine. The article attempts to inject controversy into what is
really quite a dull story.
Does it
succeed in generating a storm, or are we simply left with little more than a
muddy puddle. Read on to find out!
The tag-line for the story gets off to a bad
start:"The great crested newt
is a rare British amphibian protected under European legislation and
theoretically the subject of focussed conservation efforts. So why can no one
agree on how many are out
there?"'Theoretically'
the subject of focussed conservation efforts? Where is Mr. Fair's evidence that
current conservation efforts are unfocussed? He certainly does not address this
in his article. In fact, I would argue that conservation efforts are becoming
increasingly more focussed. Mr. Fair also suggests that no one can agree on how
many newts there are in the country. No one? Reading Mr. Fair's article it would
appear that the only person he could find who doesn't agree is Tom Langton. Are
we supposed to infer that Tom is a no one?!
The main body of the article
continues:"The scientists say
that the species is not as rare as once
thought..."Who are the scientists
who say this? They remain rather elusive in Mr. Fair's article. Has anybody
actually said this? I consider that
in some
areas the species is relatively widespread, but
even in these 'hotspots' gcn can be highly sensitive to environmental change.
The species appears to be dependent on areas of relatively high pond density.
Where conditions change and there is a decrease in the number of suitable
breeding ponds, gcn populations often collapse.
In Kent, the BRANCH project has made
predictions of how climate change may result in significant declines in species
such as the great crested newt. So rather than attempting to define gcn in terms
of 'rarity',
it may be more accurate to state that 'the
great crested newt is far more threatened than even the early conservationists
could have believed...'. Just a thought.
"...but their figures are
speculative and disputed."What
scientific data isn't speculative and disputed!? Good science involves the
testing of a null
hypothesis. Scientific experiments don't attempt to prove that an idea
is correct, they try and prove that it is wrong. If ideas were never challenged
there would be little scientific progress. It is fantastic that somebody
disputes the reported figures. What we now need is for other herpetofauna
workers to review this subject and publish their own occupancy data.
I guarantee that the currently quoted
figures for the number of gcn ponds in the country will not be exactly correct.
But, you know what? At the present time it doesn't matter if we are a few
thousands or even tens of thousands out. What we really need to know is how
accurate are our current estimates and how can we refine our techniques to
improve the accuracy of our future predictions? Hopefully, publication of the
new SAP targets will increase debate and lead to increased reporting of survey
work. "The Herpetological
Conservation Trust (HCT) now estimates that there are 100,000 ponds in Britain
that have great crested newts, a figure more than five times that in the
previous SAP, which said there were 18,000 breeding
ponds."A cheeky sleight of hand here
by Mr. Fair. On the one hand we have 100,000 ponds that
have gcn. On
the other we have 18,000
breeding
ponds. As I have previously
shown there is actually quite a difference between occupying a pond
and breeding within it. Taking gcn occupancy data for Kent as a reference, out
of those 100,000 ponds perhaps 'only' 61,000 may be used for breeding. Of
course, the relationship between occupancy and breeding will vary across the
country particularly in areas with different pond densities. But even so, it's
not quite the five-fold increase that Mr. Fair suggests.
"Tony Gent ... says that the
new figure is based
partly
..."Emphasis mine.
"... on research carried out
by Dr Lee Brady ..."
Indeed, the new figure was
partly
based on research undertaken by myself and other
Kent based colleagues (including KRAG volunteers). This research produced the
occupancy
data that I have generated using habitat suitability indices (HSI). As
Jim Foster later points out, it was also influenced by data from several other
areas, including extensive surveys in Norfolk, Suffolk, Herefordshire (hi Will!)
and Flintshire. Given that there are
believed to be about 400,000
ponds in Britain, if the new figure was wholly based on Kent occupancy
data we would be looking at 176,000 gcn ponds across the country (400,000 x
44%)! Considering that there are apparently 25,000 ponds in Sheffield gardens
alone, the Pond Conservation estimate of 400,000 ponds in the country
may already be out of
date."'This is a very rough
figure', he said. 'Between 50,000 and 100,000 is likely to be the best
guess.'"Tony is suggesting that
on
average, gcn are likely to occupy between 12.5%
and 25% of the country's ponds. Clearly in some areas (such as Kent
and Cheshire),
occupancy levels will be much higher. Elsewhere, gcn may be completely absent
(e.g. Cornwall).
Apparently, Tom Langton (who is
described as a government advisor on newt issues - does that also make me a
government advisor I wonder?) believes that the 100,000 figure is too high. Fair
enough, it might well be. Tom is then quoted as
saying:"Published research
suggests there are no more than 25,000 occupied ponds"
I don't see any reference for this
'published research'.
But let's be clear here. Until the recent boon
in ecological consultants, extensive amphibian surveys were rather limited.
Early survey work often suffered from a lack of effort. The detection of gcn in
ponds can be hampered by muddy water, lots of weed and limited time. Under these
conditions, gcn tend to only be recorded in the ponds where they are easiest to
find. I suggest that early estimates of gcn pond occupancy failed to adequately
address gcn detectability. Survey techniques are increasingly becoming more
sophisticated so that problems with the detectability of a species can be
minimised (e.g. distance
sampling). For gcn, detection rates
at ponds
are increased by using multiple survey
techniques across several visits. Sadly, estimating the number of gcn
that occupy
terrestrial
habitat is still a very difficult prospect.
So am I suggesting that Tom's comments
are wrong? No, not at all. However, the
science
has moved on. "These differing
views on the status of the great crested newt may stem from Brady originally
claiming that there are 18,000 occupied ponds in Kent
alone."No, the differing views are
based on individual interpretations of different datasets. As far as I remember,
Tom wasn't on the gcn SAP steering group and didn't contribute to the discussion
of the most recently available
dataset.Have I claimed there are 18,000
occupied ponds in Kent alone? Sort of. I have certainly suggested that, caveats
aside, there could be as many as 18,000 ponds occupied by gcn in Kent and the
basis for this suggestion is detailed here.
But seriously, are these 'differing views' really due to the fifteen minute
presentation I gave at the 2006 Herpetofauna Workers Meeting? Let's be realistic
here folks! The talk that I gave to
delegates at the 2006 Herpetofauna Workers Meeting illustrated the mechanism by
which estimates can be derived from occupancy data. Remember it is the
occupancy
data that has contributed to the SAP process and
the occupancy data is based on accurate and repeatable pond survey work. Of
course, Mr. Fair was told this but has chosen not to make reference to it.
"He
now
says this was based on inaccurate data supplied to him about the total number of
ponds in the county"Emphasis mine.
Now says? Possible issues with the Kent pond data were expressed during the talk
and folks were reminded that the research was a work in progress. The
information certainly was not presented as a definitive statement of fact.
Mr. Fair's article appears to have a
moment of clarity when Natural England's Jim Foster is quoted as saying
that:"... the Kent data was
not crucial to the revised
figure."Apparently, there is
also:"... consensus among
scientists ... over numbers declining due to pond loss and fragmentation."
Unfortunately, things start to go
downhill again..."The revised
SAP aims to increase the number of occupied ponds from 100,000 to 120,000 by
2010"I agree that it is an ambitious
target, but I don't quite share Tom's view that it
is:"Pie in the
Sky"In fact what the SAP steering
group hoped to promote was widespread pond creation. As Jim Foster is quoted as
saying, the target will be met
by:"restoring and creating
appropriate habitat using agrienvironment
measures."The idea is to encourage
creation of ponds that score relatively high on the HSI system. The process of
pond creation and the high target were inspired by the Million Ponds Project, a
major new initiative being organised by Pond Conservation that is due to start
in 2008. A million ponds! How many of
those will be occupied by gcn? Perhaps the SAP target aimed too low?!
In summary then, the BBC article
attempts to create a storm, but in reality it achieves little more than a
drizzle. Which is a shame. No really! I believe that surveying for amphibians
(and reptiles) is extremely rewarding and collecting data that enables us to
more accurately make predictions regarding the distribution of threatened
species is really quite exciting. We also absolutely need folks to challenge the
status quo. Tom has done that and all credit to him. However, Tom has been let
down by a journalist who has promoted drama over fact.
During my interview and subsequent
exchange of emails I made it quite clear to Mr. Fair that the 18,000 gcn ponds
quoted in my 2006 talk had not been the basis for the countrywide estimation of
100,000 occupied ponds. I also alerted him to the Pond Conservation project. Mr.
Fair has been very selective in the information presented within his article and
frankly I consider the article to be rather shoddy journalism. I guess that
given the spate of reports concerning the cheating and misrepresentation of
information that the BBC has now admitted
to, it shouldn't really come as a great surprise.
On a much more positive note, if you are
interested in learning more about the ongoing great crested newt survey work in
Kent and would like to hear me present the now infamous talk entitled 'How Many
Great Crested Newt Ponds are there in Kent?', then look out for details of
KRAG's AGM in January 2008!
Lee
BradyKRAG
ChairmanEdit
22/10/07 to correct some minor typos.
Posted at 08:37 pm
In the Eye of a Very Mild Breeze
I'm sure some of you will have now read the 'news'
item that was recently published in BBC Wildlife Magazine concerning estimates
of great crested newt. The article appears to be an attempt to generate a story,
where none really exists. Before explaining why I believe that the article is
flawed I thought that it would be useful to provide a little background.
Back in 2006 I presented a talk at the Herpetofauna
Workers Meeting entitled 'How Many Great Crested Newt Ponds are there in Kent?'.
The summary
for this talk is reproduced
below:"The
great crested newt is believed to be experiencing a national population decline
greater than that of the other widespread amphibian species. In Kent the species
remains relatively widespread, displaying a county distribution that appears to
be dependent upon pond density. Surveying for newts is labour intensive and
requires multiple pond visits to reliably confirm presence/likely absence.
Assessment of newt populations using simple counts is problematic due to
variation in detection rate between ponds and observers. Habitat proxies are
increasingly being used to predict the likely presence of great crested newt.
This study collected habitat proxy data using a published Habitat Suitability
Index. Ponds were ranked based on apparent quality and surveyed to determine the
relationship between predicted and actual presence.
"The
talk illustrated how occupancy data can be used in conjunction with information
on the number of ponds to make predictions on how many of Kent's ponds are
likely to be occupied by gcn. The process is really quite straightforward.
1. How is gcn occupancy influenced by
pond quality?2. How many ponds are
there?1. How is GCN
Occupancy Influenced by Pond
Quality?The likely presence of great
crested newt in a pond can be predicted using a published Habitat Suitability
Index (HSI):Oldham, R. S.,
Keeble, J., Swan, M. J. S. and Jeffcote, M. (2000) Evaluating the suitability of
habitat for the great crested newt (Triturus cristatus). Herpetological Journal,
10, 143-155.The HSI has previously
been discussed
on the blog and I have also prepared a summary of how the HSI can be applied
elsewhere,
but it is probably worth repeating some of the main points
here.The likely presence of great
crested newt in a pond can be predicted by examining aquatic habitat features
such as the presence of fish, waterfowl and water
quality.For ponds these data are used to
calculate a HSI. The HSI is represented by a number from 0 to 1, the higher the
number the more likely the pond is to be occupied by great crested newt. In
order to help with the interpretation of a pond's HSI, ponds are classified with
a description that is based on their apparent suitability for great crested
newt. Thus:

It means a heck of a lot more to a landowner when you
explain the likely presence of gcn in English rather than
gobbledegook!
By undertaking detailed
survey work in a large number of ponds across SE England I have found that ponds
with relatively high HSI scores (good - excellent) frequently support great
crested newt. Indeed, great crested newt have been recorded in more than 90% of
the surveyed 'excellent' ponds! The relationship between HSI and actual presence
is illustrated below:

Note also that although gcn are rarely
encountered in ponds with very low HSI scores, they do sometimes occur.
By looking at a large number of ponds, I
have also been able to estimate the proportion of ponds with each of the
different quality ratings. For example, while 24% of ponds are likely to be
'poor', only 12% of ponds will be 'excellent'.
The overall % of ponds likely to support
gcn will therefore be:(available poor
ponds x occupied poor ponds) + .... +
(available excellent ponds x occupied
excellent ponds) For gcn I have
generated an overall occupancy of 44%. This means that gcn will be present in
almost half of the county's ponds! However, do consider that this is a county
average. In some areas (e.g. countryside around Iwade), gcn occupy almost all
suitable ponds. In other areas gcn may not be present at all, even in
'excellent' ponds. The presence of gcn in suitable ponds will largely be
determined by the newt's local population status. A pond can be top notch
quality, but if gcn are simply not present in the local area they may not have
been able to colonise. Conversely, low quality ponds can be occupied, especially
when they are situated close to another pond that already supports the species.
I also suggest that although a pond may
be occupied by gcn, the amphibians may not necessarily breed there. My own
survey work indicates that breeding success is more likely in ponds that are
rated as 'good' or 'excellent'. The implications of this are that although gcn
may occupy 44% of the county's ponds, they may only successfully breed in 27% of
them. 2. How Many Ponds
Are There?In Kent, information on
the number of ponds has been published by Kent County Council (KCC) and is
freely available through the Kent Landscape Information
System. From the
website:"The purpose of the
K-LIS website is to enable better informed decision-making by providing detailed
information on Kent's landscape and biodiversity. Primarily aimed at landowners,
farm advisors and those involved in land use planning, the website also acts as
a useful information source to members of the public. This site contains details
on countryside access, landscape character, identifies opportunities for habitat
creation and landscape restoration, the physical environment including soils and
geology, the Kent habitat survey as well as areas designated for their
conservation value."The Kent and Medway
Biological Records Centre have very kindly analysed this data on my
behalf and suggested that there may be more than 41,000 ponds in Kent. Wow!
So, how many great crested newt ponds
are there in Kent? Some simple
maths:41,000 ponds x 44% occupancy =
18,000 occupied pondsThat is an enormous
number of occupied gcn ponds. However, as I very carefully explained during my
talk at the Herpetofauna Workers Meeting, this is a preliminary finding and
subject to verification. During the talk the audience were specifically told not
to quote the figure due to concerns over the validity of the KCC pond count.
What are those concerns? Look at the map below:

It is apparent that there are a large number of
waterbodies on Romney Marshes, North Kent Marshes and North East Kent Marshes.
These waterbodies are almost certainly ditches and drains - not ponds. Great
crested newt can (and do!) breed in ditches and drains. However, the HSI was not
developed for use on these waterbodies and does not take account of habitat
features that may be unique to these linear waterbodies. For example, ditches
often contain flowing water that could wash away gcn larvae. Ditches may also
form an interconnected system that is seasonally flooded with brackish water
and/or fish. The Kent pond data should more accurately be called Kent pond +
ditches/drains data. At the present time it is unclear what impact this will
have on the actual pond count. However, one thing is obvious: 41,000 ponds is an
overestimate.
Some
Conclusions
1. Kent is one of the best surveyed
counties in the country and the amphibian survey data collected by KRAG
volunteers is a tremendously useful resource.
2. Survey data has enabled me to
estimate overall occupancy of ponds by great crested newt. As new data comes in
estimates of occupancy may change a little. However, based on available
information I predict that 44% of Kent's ponds are occupied by gcn.
3. GCN will not successfully breed in
all occupied ponds. The loss of a single 'excellent' pond could therefore lead
to the loss of gcn from several other lower quality ponds that are situated
nearby.
4. Very few counties have
detailed habitat data. Kent is extremely fortunate that KCC have funded a
wide-ranging habitat survey. Data from this survey is currently used to inform
conservation, management and planning across the county.
5. There are concerns over the accuracy
of the Kent pond data. The quoted figure of 41,000 ponds is likely to be an
overestimate. However, the actual number of ponds is considered to be in the
same order of magnitude. Even if the inclusion of ditches and drains has doubled
the current pond estimate, that still represents a tremendous number of ponds.
Kent is probably one of the most import reservoirs of freshwater habitat in the
country.
6. The KCC pond data may be
inaccurate, but it is all we have. At this time I would prefer not to quote the
figure of 18,000 occupied ponds for gcn in Kent. Yet this estimate remains valid
based on the existing KCC dataset.
7.
While any estimate of the numbers of a species are likely to have margins of
error, I would urge KCC to consider reanalysing the Kent pond data so that we
can make a revised and hopefully more accurate estimate of the number of gcn
occupied ponds.
Next up, I
will review the BBC Wildlife article and explain why I believe this particular
journalist got things so wrong.
Lee
Brady KRAG
Chairman
Posted at 10:28 am
Sun - October 14, 2007
Unusual Lizards at Folkestone Warren
There have been reports of 'unusually marked
lizards' from the area around Folkestone for several years now. In May 2007,
Julian Russell and Nigel Jarman discovered the truth...
As many readers of the blog will be aware, I have
been keenly following the history of Kent's sand lizard. I have previously posted
a summary of our current knowledge. There are two records for Folkestone Warren
(1967) and a single record for Sandgate (1969). The latter is a verified record
of a juvenile sand lizard that was observed by Keith Corbett.
In 1995, Anne Riddell visited Copt Point
(just along the coast from the Warren) and recorded an unusually marked lizard.
Anne was convinced that the animal was not a viviparous lizard. Could this have
been one of the elusive sand lizards? Anne's description of the animal is as
follows:"Size of adult common
lizard, tail shed at junction with body. Body and head stockier than common
lizard.Colouration: dorsal -
brownflanks and legs - apple
greenflanks and belly - marbled (not
spotted) cream and black, exactly like grass
snake.Hunting actively in grass
tussocks for insects seen at 12”
distance."In 2004, another report
was received from friends of Sean Hanna. This time the animal was seen at the
top of the Warren. Sean reported the
following:"As promised, I have quizzed
my friends who thought they saw a sand lizard in Folkestone. They thought it
was too large to be a common lizard and that it was the wrong
colour."KRAG members have made
several visits to the area (some examples are documented here: 6/9/04,
16/9/04,
24/9/04
& 30/9/04).
However, the habitat around the Warren does not look particularly appealing for
sand lizards and although viviparous lizard, slow-worm and adder have all been
recorded, sand lizard observations remain elusive. Over the years Eric Philp has
also attempted to track the beasts down, but without
success. There has been a
suggestion that the Folkestone Warren records may originate from a failed
introduction. But did the introduction really involve sand lizards? Back in 1996
Phil Shore told me an interesting
story:"Also I remember Lee mentioning
large green lizards at Folkestone. Alan Cooper -the Burnt Oak Wood warden told
me a number of Wall Lizards were released there by a pet shop owner who was
unable to sell them. Given the unusually mild micro climate of the site it is
possible the lizards are still
there."So, could the Folkestone
mystery animals really be wall lizards? In our hunt for sand lizards we have
tended to search the top of the Warren and there is one specific area lower down
that has not been adequately surveyed. Earlier this year Julian Russell and
Nigel Jarman visited the Warren and may just have solved the
mystery:"Having been alerted to the
presence of green spotted lizards at [Folkestone Warren] by Peter Harnett via
Nigel Jarman on Thursday 3rd May (Peter thought they might be Sand Lizard
although views brief) I checked the site at lunchtim (1.00-1.15) on Tuesday 8th
May and found three Wall lizard sunning themselves. A number of photos taken
before they sun went in and the lizard retreating under a yellow door, Nigel
Jarman saw them later although they quickly disappeared when the sun went in.
Fantastic to see these Lizards in Kent as I went to Bournemouth last year to
look for them. Subsequent emails to Lee Brady inform me they were known to KRAG
and had been present for 20 years!! The cafe owner was please someone was taking
interest in 'her' lizards - she said they had been there at least 5 year but she
didnot know where them came from. She also said she had had adders in her cafe
and in the ladies toilets which she just picked up with a litter picker and
release unharmed.Nice to see such a
positive attitude."Julian was also kind
enough to email me the following photos. Well done to all and what a fantastic
find!

In order to protect the site I have not
identified the exact location of these observations. However, if you do visit
Folkestone and see an unusually marked lizard please do let me
know!
Lee
Brady KRAG
Chairman
Posted at 12:27 pm
Thu - September 27, 2007
Here we go again...
BBC News is
reporting that a population of endangered newts are [sic] being
relocated to make way for the Olympic Park in east London.
From the
article:
"Work is being undertaken to
catch great crested newts living near the Eastway Cycle Circuit in Stratford
which is to be transformed into the
Velopark."
And here is the photograph used in the
article to illustrate one of the protected newts. Oh dear....
Lee
Brady KRAG
Chairman
Posted at 04:03 pm
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About This Weblog
This site contains news, announcements and reports concerning the conservation of reptiles and amphibians in the English county of Kent.
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Published On: Mar 04, 2008 08:43 am
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