unimagined futures

pyramid to dna

Searching for YOUR most valuable ROADS AHEAD
In a world relentlessly moving toward new and different futureS
This site provides the elements
for creating a "life time" work approach


The Second Half of Your Life

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This is another TLN brainroad—a foundation for better second half decisions. (calendarize your plan for working on this?)

I don't know about you but the image below scares me. It is the lapsing back into middle-school social behavior that scares me. I want to end up somewhere different—maybe just dead.

old people

From Management, Revised Edition: Preface by Peter Drucker

… But while the life expectancy of the individual and especially the individual knowledge worker has risen beyond anything anybody could have foretold at the beginning of the twentieth century, the life expectancy of the employing institution has been going down, and is likely to keep going down.

Or rather, the number of years has been shrinking during which an employing institution—and especially a business enterprise—can expect to stay successful.

This period was never very long.

Historically, very few businesses were successful for as long as thirty years in a row.

To be sure, not all businesses ceased to exist when they ceased to do well.

But the ones that survived beyond thirty years usually entered into a long period of stagnation—and only rarely did they turn around again and once more become successful growth businesses.

… snip, snip …

Thus, while the life expectancies and especially the working-life expectancies of the individual and especially of the knowledge worker have been expanding very rapidly, the life expectancy of the employing organizations has actually been going down.

And—in a period of very rapid technological change, of increasing competition because of globalization, of tremendous innovation—the successful life-expectancies of employing institutions are almost certain to continue to go down.

More and more people, and especially knowledge workers, can therefore expect to outlive their employing organizations and to have to be prepared to develop new careers, new skills, new social identities, new relationships, for the second half of their lives. (calendarize this)

second half

See Managing Oneself and consider starting early—very early. It has a section devoted to the second half of your life.


Good intentions: the road to hell

The mistake most people make when they move into the second half is to rely on good intentions

According to Peter, good intentions ("I want to do something significant") is only a starting point.

The goal is results and performance that fulfills a clearly stated mission—something that needs doing—something that creates value for a customer (something that is important to them as human beings—not the typical marketing BS).

Peter told me over and over, "All results are on the outside.

On the inside is only cost and effort."

… Another phrase I heard over and over in virtually every conversation with Peter has shaped my thinking: From good intentions to results and performance."

Peter contended that most nonprofit organizations, almost all big foundations, and a good deal of government spending are invested in "good intentions."

Outspoken About Outcomes for Nonprofits

Leap of Reason: Managing to Outcomes in an Era of Scarcity

In his typically brusque style, he once told me, "Tell your rich friends money has no results

If money were what made the difference, Egypt would be Japan."

Peter wasn't speaking against money.

He was simply saying that money alone won't get results.

It might even impede results.

Bob Buford
Beyond Halftime


The Five Most Important Questions You Will Ever Ask About Your Organization by Peter Drucker

See "Its Profits Us to Strengthen Nonprofits" in Managing in a Time of Great Change


Career / life vision guidance from Peter Drucker — extremely, extremely, extremely valuable attention-directing concepts and ideas from a long-term standpoint.

knowledge technologies management industries


Conceptual Landscapes to Explore and Harvest


Useful Resources


The Role of the Social Sector

Most people think of Peter Drucker as the "father of modern management," which he was (though he was never very comfortable with that description).

And while it's true that most of the very successful corporations owe a lot of their success to him, Peter increasingly turned his attention to the social sector—nonprofit organizations whose role is to look after the social needs of a culture.

Peter felt strongly that while government has a critical role to play as policy maker, standard setter, and paymaster, it should not attempt to run social services because it has proven to be almost totally incompetent in that area.

He also believed it was not a primary role of business to provide for the social needs of citizens.

Instead, nonprofit agencies—of which more than fifty percent are churches and faith—based organizations—have the greatest potential for doing the greatest good.

But as Peter would often say, "Don't mistake potential for performance," and devoted a great deal of his time helping the social sector, including churches, becoming more effective by becoming better managers.

I know that some have criticized larger churches for becoming more "businesslike" by adopting modern management principles, but Peter was adamant that the function of management is to make the church more churchlike (or a hospital more hospital-like), not make it more businesslike.

(calendarize this?)

He saw such huge potential within churches to care for the social needs of the nation (see chapter titled "Citizenship Through the Social Sector" in Post-Capitalist Society) , especially within the ranks of Baby Boomers who will be looking for more meaningful options to retirement.

From Halftime by Bob Buford


Managing Service Institutions in the Society of Organizations

From Chapter 12 of Management, Revised Edition

Management Revised Edition    Management Cases Revised Edition

Amazon Links: Management Rev Ed and Management Cases, Revised Edition

Business enterprise is only one of the institutions of modern society, and business managers are by no means our only managers.

Service institutions are equally institutions and, therefore, equally in need of management.

Some of the most familiar of these institutions are government agencies, the armed services, schools, colleges, universities, research laboratories, hospitals and other health-care institutions, unions, professional practices such as the large law firm, and professional, industry, and trade associations.

They all have people who are paid for doing the management job, even though they may be called administrators, commanders, directors, or executives, rather than managers.


The Multi-Institutional Society

Public-service institutions are supported by the economic surplus produced by economic activity.

They are social overhead.

The growth of the public service institution in the twentieth and twenty-first centuries is the best testimonial to the success of business in discharging its economic task—producing economic surplus.


Yet, unlike the early nineteenth-century university, the service institutions are not a luxury or an ornament.

They are essentials of a modern society.

They have to perform if society and business are to function.

These service institutions are the main expense of a modern society.

Approximately half of the gross national product of the United States (and of most of the other developed countries) is spent on public-service institutions.

Every citizen in the developed, industrialized, urbanized societies depends for survival on the performance of the public-service institutions.

These institutions also embody the values of developed societies.

Education, health care, knowledge, and mobility—not just more food, clothing, and shelter—are the fruits of our society's increased economic capacities and productivity.


Yet the evidence for performance in the service institutions is not impressive, let alone overwhelming.

Colleges, hospitals, and universities have grown larger than an earlier generation would have dreamed possible.

Their budgets have grown even faster.

Yet everywhere they are in crisis.

A generation or two ago their performance was taken for granted.

Today they are attacked on all sides for lack of performance.

Services that the nineteenth century managed successfully with little apparent effort—the postal service, for instance, or the railroads—are today deep in the red and require enormous subsidies.

National and local government agencies are constantly being reorganized for efficiency.

Yet in every country citizens complain loudly of growing bureaucracy in government.

What they mean is that the government agency is being run more for the convenience of its employees than for contribution and performance.

This is mismanagement.

Are Service Institutions Managed?

The service institutions themselves have become "management conscious."

Increasingly they turn to business to learn management.

In all service institutions, manager development, management by objectives, and many other concepts and tools of business management are now common.


This is a healthy sign, but it does not mean that the service institutions understand the problems of managing themselves.

It only means that they begin to realize that at present they are not being managed.

But Are They Manageable?

There is another and very different response to the performance crisis of the service institutions.

A growing number of critics have come to the conclusion that service institutions are inherently unmanageable and incapable of performance.

Some go so far as to suggest that they should, therefor, be dissolved.

But there is not the slightest evidence that today's society is willing to do without the contributions the service institutions provide.

The people who most vocally attack the shortcomings of the hospitals want more and better health care.

Those who criticize public schools want better, not less, education.

The voters bitterest about government bureaucracy vote for more government programs.


We have no choice but to learn to manage the public-service institutions for performance.


And they can be managed for performance.


Managing Public-Service Institutions For Performance

Different classes of service institutions need different structures.

But all of them need first to impose on themselves discipline of the kind imposed by leaders of the institutions in the examples in the previous chapters.

This work involves
attention-directing and
mental patterns

They need to define "what our business is and what it should be."

See "The Theory of the Business" in chapter 8 of Management, Revised Edition and The Five Most Important Questions You Will Ever Ask About Your Organization (converts intentions into action)

They need to bring alternative definitions into the open and consider them carefully.

They should perhaps even work out some balance between the different and conflicting definitions of mission (as did the presidents of the emerging American universities—see later in this chapter).

They must derive clear objectives and goals from their definition of function and mission.

They then must set priorities that enable them to select targets, to set standards of accomplishment and performance—that is, to define the minimum acceptable results, to set deadlines, to go to work on results, and to make someone accountable for results.

They must define measurements of performance—customer-satisfaction measurements for the performance of Medicare services, or the number of households supplied with electric power (a quantity much easier to measure).

They must use these measurements to feed back on their efforts.

That is, they must build self-control by results into their system.

Finally, they need an organized review of objectives and results, to weed out those objectives that no longer serve a purpose or have proven unattainable.

They need to identify unsatisfactory performance and activities that are outdated or unproductive, or both.

And they need a mechanism for dropping such activities rather than wasting money and human energies where the results are poor.


The last requirement may be the most important one.

Without a market test, the service institution lacks the built-in discipline that forces a business eventually to abandon yesterday—or else go bankrupt.

Assessing and abandoning low-performance activities in service institutions, outside and inside business, would be the most painful but also the most beneficial improvement.


As the examples have shown, no success is "forever."

Yet it is even more difficult to abandon yesterday's success than it is to reappraise a failure.

A once-successful project gains an air of success that outlasts the project's real usefulness and disguises its failings.

In a service institution particularly, yesterday's success becomes "policy," "virtue," "conviction," if not holy writ.

The institution must impose on itself the discipline of thinking through its mission, its objectives, and its priorities, and of building in feedback control from results and performance on policies, priorities, and action.

Otherwise, it will gradually become less and less effective.

We are in such a welfare mess today in the United States largely because the welfare program of the 1930s was such a success.

We could not abandon it and, instead, misapplied it to the radically different problem of the inner-city poor.

To make service institutions perform, it should by now be clear, does not require great leaders.

It requires a system.

The essentials of this system are not too different from the essentials of performance in a business enterprise, but the application will be quite different.

The service institutions are not businesses; performance means something quite different in them.

The applications of the essentials differ greatly for different service institutions.

As our later examples will show, there are at least three different kinds of service institutions—institutions that are not paid for performance and results, but for efforts and programs.


Also see "What Results Should You Expect?: A User's Guide to MBO" in Toward The Next Economics


What are the opportunities time and history have (will) put within your grasp? — Peter Drucker


Brainscape enhancement and topic assessment

Donation: Click the button below to make a donation through PayPal. Just a few dollars helps with the books, software, web site hosting, and the time devoted to enhancing the work approach blue print available on this site. See the text site map for a view of the site's unique scope and resources. Also see links to external resources on my delicious page


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conceptual resource assistance

Radar: attention :: enhancement :: organization

Conceptual resource assistance available

 


 

Life-TIME Investment System

(a road map and brainscape © for time investing)

For a world always moving
away from yesterdays
and toward unimagined futures.

Working on the familiar (routine tasks)
with the familiar (capabilities)
won't get you to tomorrows.

What follows is part of a
foundation for future directed decisions


Time investing is the only way to escape
the decaying worldS of yesterdayS — its not a one time event.

The 1850s, 1920s, 1950s, 1970s, 1990s … are gone
and they aren't coming back.


Many people seem to believe that a rising tide lifts all boats.
But does it, really?
Look around the worlds of yesterdays.
How much of the things being done then
had any lasting value?
(Disco, 8-tracks, B&W TV, rotary dial phones,
downtown shopping, fashion, bleeding, Blockbuster, …)

How much of what you're doing today is really
effective or future directed?

Organization change events are with us for the roads ahead.

Amazon link: How The Mighty Fall

… the organization of the post-capitalist society of organizations
is a destabilizer.

Because its function is to put knowledge to work
—on tools, processes, and products;
on work;
on knowledge itself—
it must be organized for constant change.

It must be organized for innovation;
and innovation,
as the Austro-American economist
Joseph Schumpeter (1883-1950) said,
is “creative destruction.”

It must be organized for systematic abandonment
of the established, the customary, the familiar,
the comfortable
— whether products, services, and processes,
human and social relationships, skills,
or organizations themselves.

It is the very nature of knowledge
that it changes fast and
that today's certainties
will be tomorrow's absurdities. — Peter Drucker


Extrapolating yesterdays is hazardous to your future.

But what if you're currently doing great?

Only fairy tales end
‘They lived happily ever after.’
Success always obsoletes the very behavior
that achieved it.
It always creates new realities.
It always creates, above all,
its own and different problems.” — Peter Drucker

You can only invest your time in the things on your radar

You can only utilize the things on your radar

What you primarily see around you is yesterday
and the dead past.

Without continuous, systematic on-going work
your radar will be infested with yesterday
rather than opportunities.


Because we live in a world that is always heading
into a non-linear future …

1940 Census

… we need a way to force ourselves
to look for and at things
that aren't on our radar (with some credible help)
and decide what to do about them.
At the same time we need a way
to narrow down the infinite number
things we could look at.
The previous ideas need to rest
on a solid foundation for future directed decisions.


The topics below are “top of the food chain” radar ammunition

It would be a really good idea
to read all of the following before clicking the links.

As you're reading remember the non-linearity of time.

All of the below are connected through TIME
and are moving in TIME

They are part of the elements
for creating a “life time” work approach
mentioned at the top of most pages.

They will help you figure out
where you want to go (your most valuable roads ahead)
and how to get there.
And then do it again …

This is a blueprint for a genuinely interesting life.


A radar list will be helpful in your exploration and life navigation.
It could include important, relevant topic areas and where you found them.
There is a limit to the number of topics a person can effectively calendarize.

One of the difficulties of getting to tomorrows
is having access to the right brain-addresses.
Your radar list should be your future brain-address book.
Every line in the image below is a brain-address
or at least a jumping off point toward the right brain-road to pursue.

Please don't ever begin to believe that
a permanent answer or magic bullet exists.
There is a constantly receding horizon — no final answer.
Just alternatives — appearing at different times.
Life is a navigation challenge
in a world moving toward unimagined futureS.

The pages below are meant to be explored and selectively harvested.

They are ATTENTION-DIRECTING TOOLS

They provide a form of LIFE “insurance.”

Having a complex mental landscape
combined with periodic abandonment and refocusing work
will prevent your from traveling the wrong roads for too long.

Every road eventually becomes the wrong road.

Having a complex mental landscape is also
some protection from those pushing “snake oil.”

Everything above and below is about time investing
for the purpose of time-life navigation.
All of it is part of a foundation for future directed decisions.

You should want to know how the world works
and how you can navigate this reality.

We are already embedded in
a knowledge society, a society of organizations, and a network society.


Attention !!! (refocusing attention always comes first)   :::   LTIS for TLN — Quick Look   :::   The World is Full of Options by Peter Drucker (a social ecologist)   :::   Contents of books by Peter Drucker   :::   What do you want to be remembered for?   :::   Foundations for future directed decisions (What do you need to know before you decide … ?)   :::   Knowledge: Its Economics and Its Productivity   :::   The Daily Drucker (a foundational resource with an unparalleled field of vision)   :::   TLN text site map (quick view of the Time-Life Navigation SM © site's scope. Over 500 html pages, 100+ PDFs, 1000s of images. Which of these elements are part of your future?)   :::   Time-Life Navigation SM © (about living in a world moving toward unimagined futures)   :::   Adventures in time (can you connect this idea with someone or a topic listed here?)   :::   Adventures of a Bystander   :::   Simplified TLN system view   :::   The Unfashionable Kierkegaard   :::   The Changing Social and Economic Picture   :::   Economic Content and Structure   :::   Knowledge System View   :::   Selected TLN articles from the news (Society :: events :: stuff happening)


Work life brainscape: Early Career Work (for knowledge workers and ambitious knowledge technologists—a foundation for future directed decisions)   :::   Because life-time employment is gone Networking is necessary   :::   Résumé and Interview Planning for your years and the decades ahead   :::   New job game plan: when you get a new job, task, or assignment — this is very, very important   :::   Learning

Managing Oneself (as a unique INDIVIDUAL human being over a lifetime in a changing world—beginning NOW! This should be your foundation for everything else)

  :::   Career and Life Guidance from Peter Drucker   :::  

  :::   The Essential Drucker   :::  
("A coherent and fairly comprehensive" introduction to management)

  :::   Managing Oneself for Effectiveness (a step up the performance ladder — The Effective Executive Preface !!!!! Outline !!!)   :::  

  :::   The Educated Person ("defines society's performance capacity")   :::  

  :::   Living in More Than One World
How Peter Drucker's Wisdom Can Inspire Your Life by Bruce Rosenstein
  :::  

  :::   CEO   :::   Board member   :::  

  :::   Mojo: How to Get It, How to Keep It, How to Get It Back if You Lose It   :::  
  :::   What Got You Here Won't Get You There both by Marshall Goldsmith   :::  

  :::   The Second Half of Your Life (important to start by your mid-30s)   :::  

Career evolution : Professional Grade (another door)


Organization evolution (essential to creating and maintaining a healthy, modern society. Somebody has to want it and do it. From working in a basement or garage to Built to Last)   :::   Management, Revised Edition   :::   Managing the Non-Profit Organization   :::   The Five Most Important Questions You Will Ever Ask About Your Organization   :::   The Definitive Drucker   :::   Leadership   :::   Production (from "specs" to user reality)   :::   Managing the Small Business   :::   Managing the Family Business: see December 28 and 29 in The Daily Drucker

Apple: Apple II, Lisa, Mac, Laptops, iPod and iTunes and other online stores, iPhone, iPad, iCloud …
always aiming high

Innovation and Entrepreneurship ("This is a practical book, but it is not a "how-to" book. Instead, it deals with the what, when, and why; with such tangibles as policies and decisions; opportunities and risks; structures and strategies; staffing, compensation, and rewards. Innovation is the specific tool of entrepreneurs, the means by which they exploit change as an opportunity for a different business or a different service. … The test of an innovation, after all, lies not its novelty, its scientific content, or its cleverness. It lies in its success in the marketplace. … A successful innovation aims at leadership … successful entrepreneurs aim high. They are not content simply to improve on what already exists, or to modify it. … Successful businesses, businesses that are today in the right markets with the right products or services, are likely ten years hence to get three-quarters of their revenues from products and services that exist today, or from their linear descendants. In fact, if today's products or services do not generate a continuing and large revenue stream, the enterprise will not be able to make the substantial investment in tomorrow that innovation requires.")   :::   Innovation   :::   Entrepreneurship   :::   Entrepreneurs and Innovation


Life lines (a view from above)   :::   Life design (as your verb or noun)   :::   Financial investing (developing an informed capacity)   :::   Life management system (LMS) (a conscious navigation system from yesterdays to tomorrows) OR Time-management


Practical thinking (knowing what to to do)   :::   Mental patterns (our self-organizing information system. In the final analysis the future of society depends on what's between our ears)   :::   More thinking resources by Edward de Bono


Using conceptual resources (as brainroads © and brainscapes ©)
Conceptual resource digestion process   :::   TLN conceptual resource file listing   :::   Concepts and ideas …


Calendarization (from topic introduction to what's the next action—really?)
What's next? in your life and time
Where will your current time usage lead?

Larger


bobembry contact info (suggestions or whatever)   :::   Conceptual resource assistance   :::   Partners wanted   :::   Resume (Bob Embry)   :::   Personal (Bob Embry)   :::   Bob Embry's Time-Life Navigation © Blog   :::   Twitter | Bob Embry   :::   Twitter | ti4tomorrows   :::   Facebook | Bob Embry   :::   LinkedIn | Bob Embry   :::   delicious | bobembry   :::   googleme (unexpected ways to view site connections)   :::   TLN search (semi-functional Google site search)


The URLs to my site are going to change before June 30, 2012. Apple is discontinuing their hosting service. The new domain is http://rlaexp.com/. Also you will still be able to find the site by Googling either bobembry or "Time-Life-Navigation" or "Life-Time-Investment system"

"To know and not do, is to not yet know"

tlnview tlnkwview



At the present time this is a prototype site. I add, remove, and redesign content based on my own unfolding comprehension of the time-life navigation © (TLN) landscape . This means that you might want to periodically revisit relevant pages.

Site design goals (beta—September 2010): My minimum goal is to provide enough "sign-posts" that serious site users don't find themselves in major negative situations because they didn't get the TLN memo. My desired goal is to provide "sign-posts" to a meaningful life—both for individuals and society. One supreme sign-post is to set your sights on achievements that really matter, that will make a difference in the world. The second half of your life is the major opportunity for full effectiveness and fulfillment.

Many of the books that were available when I first started working on what I now call "time-life navigation" have gone out of print or are hard to find. You can still use the content of the book outline pages to identify topics of interest and to search Amazon Books for topics or phrases.


Copyright 2001 2005 2007 2010 2011 © All rights reserved | bobembry | bob embry | "time life navigation" © | "life TIME investment system" © | "career evolution" © | "life design" © | "organization evolution" ©

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