Why Obama will win Pennsylvania
The polls are all over the place, with Gallup showing the race tightening and Newsweek showing Obama pulling way ahead nationally. But I'm going to ignore those, because they're based on statistical models that can be thrown off when one or the other candidate's supporters are more fired up than normal.
And ObamaNation is fired up, thanks in no small part to the travesty of a "debate". And I do mean fired up. How many spontaneous marches have taken place during the primary season so far?
Clinton, on the other hand, is out slamming the party's "activist base" as the reason she's losing. If it wasn't for all those people Obama has inspired to get involved in politics, she'd certainly be doing better. After all, the best way to beat the Republicans is apparently to count on your base's apathy (?).
I think the highly pissed-off and energized Obama base is going to swamp the polls on Tuesday and deliver the upset coup de grace to the Clintons.
Granted that's a guess with far too little data for me to be sure, but what the hell? It's not like I'm getting paid for this.
